New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 7/23/2025

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays face off in the rubber match of a three-game series at Rogers Centre on Wednesday night. This game has huge AL East championship implications. The Yankees can cut Toronto’s lead in the AL East to just two games with a win here. But the Jays will have something to say about that in this contest. Continue reading to get my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction for this huge game.

Our Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick

• Pick: Yankees to win
• Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Date & Time: Wednesday, July 23, 2025, 7:07 PM EDT
• Starting Pitchers: Max Fried (NYY) vs. Chris Bassitt (TOR)
• Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
• Broadcast: Prime Video

Key Storylines

• Pitching Form: Max Fried enters with an impressive 11-3 record and a 2.43 ERA. He has showcased his dominance on the mound consistently. Chris Bassitt enters with a solid 10-4 record and a 3.89 ERA. He will be a challenge for the Yankees’ offense to figure out.
• Bullpen Usage: Both teams have relied heavily on their bullpens in recent games. The Blue Jays’ bullpen unraveled in their 5-4 loss to the Yankees last night. But they held strong in Toronto’s win on Monday. Which version of the Blue Jays pen we see tonight could decide the outcome of this game.
• Recent Team Streaks: The Yankees have won three of their last four games going into this rubber match. The Blue Jays have won four of their last five and are playing some of the best baseball in the league right now.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Blue Jays are 6-3 against the Yankees this season.
• The Yankees are 26-26 on the road. The Blue Jays are 36-17 at home.
• These teams have one more three-game series against each other set for later in the season. The Blue Jays can clinch the season series with a win tonight.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Model Projection

• Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Blue Jays 3
• Win Probability: Yankees 60%, Blue Jays 40%

Final Thoughts

This is a huge game for both teams and their division championship aspirations. There are plenty of reasong to believe that either team will win this game. But I’m taking the Yankees to get the job done as a slight favorite. Fried is pitching at a sensational level and the bats of the Yankees finally woke up late last night. Expect the Yankees to cut Toronto’s AL East lead to two games after this contest wraps up.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.