New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 7/2/2025

The week of Canada Day has gone incredibly well so far for the Toronto Blue Jays, as they have had the upper hand over the New York Yankees in their series so far. First pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET under the dome at Rogers Centre, as the Jays look for a third straight win over New York. Keep reading to get my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction before first pitch.

Our Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick

• Pick: Blue Jays ML (+108) over Yankees
• Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
• Date & Time: July 2, 2025 · 7:07 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Yankees’ Will Warren (5‑4, 4.37 ERA) vs Blue Jays’ José Berríos (4‑3, 3.26 ERA)
• Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
• Broadcast: SNET, Prime Video

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Will Warren carries a 4.37 ERA but boasts an 11.54 K/9 rate.
• José Berríos has been steady at a 3.26 ERA and 7.9 K/9. He provides consistent length and quality starts.

Bullpen usage

• Yankees lost Fernando Cruz to the injured list, weakening middle relief. Geoff Hartlieb has been recalled but is untested at the MLB level.
• The Blue Jays’ pen boasts a solid 3.54 ERA over the past fortnight, led by Jeff Hoffman and Brendon Little.

Recent team streaks

• Blue Jays are 4‑1 in their last five games and covered the runline in three of their last five.
• Yankees are 5‑5 straight up and on the runline in their last 10 outings.
• Toronto won Tuesday’s game 12‑5 behind a seven‑RBI performance by George Springer.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Toronto has won three games in a row entering Wednesday night.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four.
• Toronto is 12‑15 vs LHP and shows slight struggles against lefties.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Model Projection

Final Thoughts

The Yankees offense is going through some serious issues of late and I don’t know that betting them as a favorite is a good idea until those issues are sorted out. Toronto is playing better baseball than the Yankees right now and I expect that to continue here. Give me the Jays at a plus price as they could easily take a third straight game over New York to pull even with the Yankees in the AL East standings.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.