New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 7/2/2025
The week of Canada Day has gone incredibly well so far for the Toronto Blue Jays, as they have had the upper hand over the New York Yankees in their series so far. First pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET under the dome at Rogers Centre, as the Jays look for a third straight win over New York. Keep reading to get my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction before first pitch.
Our Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick
Pick: Blue Jays ML (+108) over Yankees
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Starting Pitchers: Yankees’ Will Warren (5‑4, 4.37 ERA) vs Blue Jays’ José Berríos (4‑3, 3.26 ERA)
Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Broadcast: SNET, Prime Video
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Will Warren carries a 4.37 ERA but boasts an 11.54 K/9 rate.
José Berríos has been steady at a 3.26 ERA and 7.9 K/9. He provides consistent length and quality starts.
Bullpen usage
Yankees lost Fernando Cruz to the injured list, weakening middle relief. Geoff Hartlieb has been recalled but is untested at the MLB level.
The Blue Jays’ pen boasts a solid 3.54 ERA over the past fortnight, led by Jeff Hoffman and Brendon Little.
Recent team streaks
Blue Jays are 4‑1 in their last five games and covered the runline in three of their last five.
Yankees are 5‑5 straight up and on the runline in their last 10 outings.
Toronto won Tuesday’s game 12‑5 behind a seven‑RBI performance by George Springer.
Best Player Props
Player Prop
Line
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases
-110
George Springer Anytime Home Run
+425
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts
–120
Betting Trends & H2H
Toronto has won three games in a row entering Wednesday night.
The Yankees have lost three of their last four.
Toronto is 12‑15 vs LHP and shows slight struggles against lefties.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection:
Blue Jays 5 – Yankees 4
Win Probability:
Yankees 47% – Blue Jays 53%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees offense is going through some serious issues of late and I don’t know that betting them as a favorite is a good idea until those issues are sorted out. Toronto is playing better baseball than the Yankees right now and I expect that to continue here. Give me the Jays at a plus price as they could easily take a third straight game over New York to pull even with the Yankees in the AL East standings.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 7/2/2025
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