New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 7/21/2025
The New York Yankees will head to Rogers Centre on Monday for an AL East showdown with the Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays enter this series leading the AL East and the Yankees are right behind them in the standings. That and the presence of two very good starting pitchers make this a can’t-miss contest in baseball. Continue reading to get my analysis for this one, including my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction. Carlos Rodón has been steady overall for the Yankees. He enters this game with a 10-6 record and a 3.08 ERA. He threw eight shutout innings with eight strikeouts in an 11‑0 win over the Cubs in his last start. But he faces a Blue Jays lineup that is riding high and Rodon will have to be great to shut them down. Kevin Gausman has struggled to find consistency this year. He is 6-7 with a 4.19 ERA in 2025 and faces a dangerous Yankee lineup here. Toronto may not have the starting pitching edge in this game. But they should have the advantage in the bullpen. Toronto ranks sixth in bullpen ERA for the year. The Yankees are just inside the bottom 10 in the league in that statistical category. The Yankees won the final two games of their three-game set against the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. Toronto enjoyed a three-game sweep over the San Francisco Giants. The team that wins this series will give themselves a huge boost in what has been a competitive AL East championship chase. Score Projection: Yankees 4 – Blue Jays 5 Win Probability: Yankees 49%, Blue Jays 51% Toronto enters this series with a three-game advantage over the Yankees in the AL East standings. I expect them to grow that lead with a win in this contest from Toronto. The Blue Jays proved they can handle their business at home against the Yankees in their four-game sweep of New York a few weeks ago. I think Gausman has a solid start tonight and that the Blue Jays bullpen ultimately helps them get this key victory.Our Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick
Game Snapshot
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Bullpen usage
Recent team streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop A. Judge (NYY) Over 0.5 Home Runs V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Over 1.5 Total Bases C. Rodón (NYY) Over 6.5 Strikeouts Betting Trends & H2H
Yankees vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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