New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Preview – 4/17/2024

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Overview

• Date: April 17, 2024
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Marcus Stroman - Yankees
  • Kevin Gausman - Blue Jays
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 155, Blue Jays 1.5 -175
• Money Line: Yankees -115, Blue Jays -105
• Total (Over/Under):8.5 -110

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• New York Yankees - 51%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 49%

Projected Win %:

• New York Yankees - 53.97%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 46.03%

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Preview & Prediction

On April 17, 2024, the Toronto Blue Jays will face off against the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre. This American League East matchup promises to be an exciting game between two teams with impressive records this season.

The Blue Jays, with a record of 10-8, are having a good season so far. They will be playing as the home team, hoping to capitalize on their home-field advantage. The Yankees, on the other hand, boast a stellar record of 12-6, making it a great season for them.

Kevin Gausman is projected to start for the Blue Jays. As a right-handed pitcher, Gausman has started three games this year, but unfortunately, his win/loss record stands at 0-2 with an ERA of 11.57, which is less than ideal. However, his 4.22 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and may perform better going forward.

Opposing Gausman on the mound will be Marcus Stroman, also a right-handed pitcher. Stroman has started three games this season, with a win/loss record of 1-1 and an impressive ERA of 2.12. However, his 3.59 xFIP indicates that he may have been lucky and could potentially perform worse in the future.

In terms of offense, the Blue Jays rank 20th in MLB this season, while the Yankees rank 7th. The Blue Jays have a solid team batting average, ranking 5th in the league, but their home run and stolen base rankings are average. The Yankees, on the other hand, have a strong offense, ranking 29th in team batting average, but 8th in home runs.

The game total for today's matchup is set at 8.5 runs, indicating an average expectation for scoring. In terms of betting odds, both teams have a moneyline of -110, suggesting an equal chance of winning according to the betting markets.

Based on the projections, the Blue Jays have an average implied team total of 4.25 runs, as do the Yankees. This indicates a balanced offensive performance is expected from both teams.

Overall, this game promises to be an exciting battle between two strong teams. With the Blue Jays looking to continue their good season and the Yankees aiming to build on their great record, fans can expect a competitive matchup at Rogers Centre.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

With 6 bats who share his hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Marcus Stroman should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays' bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all major league teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 148 games (+9.94 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 away games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• Kevin Gausman has only hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 22 games (-8.70 Units / -33% ROI)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction: Yankees 4.74 - Blue Jays 4.11

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