New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Preview – 4/16/2024

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Overview

• Date: April 16, 2024
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Carlos Rodon - Yankees
  • Yusei Kikuchi - Blue Jays
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 145, Blue Jays 1.5 -170
• Money Line: Yankees -110, Blue Jays -110
• Total (Over/Under):8.5 -115

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• New York Yankees - 50%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 50%

Projected Win %:

• New York Yankees - 54.72%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 45.28%

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Preview & Prediction

In a highly anticipated American League East matchup, the Toronto Blue Jays will take on the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre on April 16, 2024. The Blue Jays, with a season record of 9-8, are having an above-average season, while the Yankees boast an impressive 12-5 record, indicating a great season for them.

On the mound, the Blue Jays are projected to start left-handed pitcher Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi has started three games this year, with a win/loss record of 0-1 and an excellent ERA of 2.30. However, his xFIP suggests that he has been lucky and may perform worse going forward. On the other side, the Yankees will send left-handed pitcher Carlos Rodon to start. Rodon has started three games as well, with a win/loss record of 1-0 and an outstanding ERA of 1.72. Like Kikuchi, his xFIP indicates potential regression in his performance.

The Blue Jays' offense ranks as the 22nd best in MLB this season, while the Yankees' offense is ranked 6th. However, the Blue Jays have the 5th best team batting average, indicating their underlying talent in hitting. The Yankees, despite a low team batting average, excel in home runs, ranking 8th in the league.

According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, the Blue Jays' bullpen is ranked 13th best in MLB, while the Yankees' bullpen is ranked 5th. This suggests that the Yankees have an advantage in the bullpen department.

In their last game, the Blue Jays played against an unknown opponent, while the Yankees played against another unknown opponent. Unfortunately, no specific details are available about these games.

Based on the current odds, both teams have an average implied team total of 4.25 runs for today's game. The Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, indicating an average expectation for total runs scored in the game.

Considering the projections and rankings, the Yankees seem to have an edge in this matchup. However, the Blue Jays' above-average season and their strong offensive performance in terms of batting average could make this a close game. Baseball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly awaiting this exciting contest between division rivals.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

The 4th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the New York Yankees.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yusei Kikuchi is expected to wring up 14.6 outs in this matchup.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 10th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 away games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 84% ROI)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction: Yankees 5.04 - Blue Jays 4.32

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