New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction – 8/4/2025
The New York Yankees will open a three-game series against the Texas Rangers on Monday at Globe Life Field in Arlington. Both of these teams lost their most recent series and will look to bounce back against one another in this contest. Before these American League teams go at it in Texas, you can continue reading to get my Yankees vs Rangers prediction for the night.
Our Yankees vs Rangers Pick
- Pick: Yankees Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers |
| Date & Time | August 4, 2025, 8:05 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Max Fried vs. Patrick Corbin |
| Stadium | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchups: The New York Yankees will start Max Fried in this game. Fried 12-4 this season and has a 2.62 ERA. Fried has allowed 10 home runs in 134 innings of work and he will look to keep the ball in the yard consistently in this game too. Patrick Corbin is on the bump for the Rangers tonight. Corbin is 6-7 and has a 3.78 ERA and he will look to neutralize the short-handed lineup of New York.
Key Players: With Aaron Judge on the IL, bats like Giancarlo Stanton and Jazz Chisholm will be very important for the Yankees. Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager supply the power for the Rangers and will look to get a hold of one against Fried tonight.
Team Momentum: The Yankees have lost three straight games after being swept by the Miami Marlins. The Rangers went 1-3 in their last series against the Seattle Mariners and will look for a bounce back performance here.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Corey Seager | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Max Fried | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Yankees are 3-0 against the Rangers so far this season.
All three games between these teams have gone under their totals this year.
New York gave up 22 runs in their three straight losses to the Marlins.
The Rangers are 34-20 at home this year. The Yankees are 26-30 on the road.
Yankees vs Rangers Model Projection
Projected Score: Yankees 5 – Rangers 4
Win Probability: Yankees 55% | Rangers 45%
Final Thoughts
I’m not sure that I trust either of these teams to play consistent ball right now. But I do think that the starting pitching advantage for the Yankees is too much for the Rangers to overcome. I will take the Yankees to get a much-needed win on the road here and for Fried to pitch well again.
