New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Pick – 8/5/2025

The Texas Rangers and New York Yankees will play in the second game of a three-game series on Tuesday night in Arlington. These teams went to extra innings last night and the Rangers took the win in the bottom of the 10th inning. Tonight, the Rangers are favored to win a second straight over New York. Continue reading to get a full breakdown of this game, including my Yankees vs Rangers prediction.


Our Rangers vs Yankees Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

MatchupTexas Rangers vs. New York Yankees
Date & TimeAugust 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Starting PitchersNathan Eovaldi (TEX) vs. Will Warren (NYY)
StadiumGlobe Life Field, Arlington, TX
BroadcastMLB.tv

Key Storylines to Watch

  • Pitching Form: Texas has the advantage going into this matchup on the mound. Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for Texas. He is 9-3 and has a 1.49 ERA. Eovaldi has been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball according to our power rankings. Will Warren will get the start for New York. Warren is 6-5 and has a 4.64 ERA this season.

  • Bullpen Matchup: The Rangers won the bullpen battle between these teams last night. Texas held their own late and the Yankees blew a late lead before giving up three runs in the bottom of the 10th inning to lose the game. New York’s pen will look to rebound in this contest.

  • Team Momentum: The Yankees have lost four games in a row coming into this contest. They were swept by the Miami Marlins before losing on Monday to the Rangers. Texas has won two of its last three games and will look to build on that recent success tonight.


Best Player Props

PlayerPropPick
Aaron JudgeHome RunsOver 0.5
Nathan EovaldiStrikeoutsOver 6.5
Corey SeagerTotal BasesOver 1.5

  • The Yankees are 3-1 against the Rangers so far this season.
  • The home team has won all four of the matchups between these teams this season.
  • New York has allowed 7+ runs in three of their last four games.

Rangers vs Yankees Model Projection

Projected Score: Rangers 6 – Yankees 4
Win Probability: Rangers 55% | Yankees 45%


Final Thoughts

The Yankees are struggling on the diamond of late and we should see that trend continue in this game. The Rangers have a huge pitching advantage with Eovaldi on the mound and I expect the Rangers to get their third win in four games tonight.


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Home MLB Picks New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Pick – 8/5/2025