New York Yankees vs New York Mets Pick – 7/5/2025
The New York Yankees head to Citi Field on Saturday, July 5 for Game 2 of their Subway Series showdown with the New York Mets. Coming off a dramatic 6-5 loss that was their fifth in a row, the Yankees will look to rebound against their crosstown rivals today. Here, I give you my analysis for this matchup, including my Yankees vs Mets prediction for the day. Carlos Rodón has been outstanding with a 2.95 ERA this year for the Yankees. Conversely, Frankie Montas enters with rough results this season, posting a 6.00 ERA through two starts. I think it’s clear that the Yankees have the starting pitching advantage going into this game. The Yankees have seen their bullpen let them down time and time again during their recent losing streak. They gave up two runs in the bottom of the seventh inning to the Mets yesterday, allowing the Mets to take the lead late and not give it back. If the Yankees want any chance at breaking their losing streak today, they will need to be better pitching late. The Yankees have dropped five straight games, surrendering 42 runs during that stretch. The Mets have won three straight overall and will look to secure a win in this three-game series with a victory this afternoon. Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Mets 4 Win Probability: Yankees 57%, Mets 43% The Yankees have a clear edge on the mound today with Carlos Rodón against Frankie Montas. Despite the Yankees’ current losing streak, their offense remains among the most dangerous in baseball. The Mets have home-field advantage and are playing with confidence, but their bullpen should struggle having to relieve Montas. I’ll go with the Yankees to snap their five-game skid and get a win in Queens today.Our Yankees vs Mets Pick
Game Snapshot
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Bullpen usage
Recent team streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Type Odds Aaron Judge (NYY) 2+ Hits +220 Pete Alonso (NYM) 1+ Home Run +310 Juan Soto (NYM) Over 1.5 Total Bases +125 Betting Trends & H2H
Yankees vs Mets Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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