New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Pick – 8/3/2025
The New York Yankees and Miami Marlins will play the final game of their weekend series on Sunday afternoon. Miami has won both games of this series so far and have a chance to sweep the Yankees with a win here. New York will hope that a returning starting pitcher can help them to avoid a third straight loss in South Florida. Here, you can find my analysis of this interleague matchup, including my Yankees vs Marlins prediction.
Our Yankees vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil vs Edward Cabrera
- Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Luis Gil returns to the majors for the Yankees after missing most of the season with a lat injury. Gil pitched well for the Yankees when he was healthy in the past. But there will always be questions about rust when a pitcher comes back from such a long layoff. Edward Cabrera has delivered solid outing after solid outing for Miami this year. He is just 4-5 for the season but his 3.35 ERA suggests that he is better than his record would lead you to believe.
Key Players
- Agustín Ramírez (MIA): The rookie catcher has 14 HRs and 42 RBI so far. He hit two solo homers and accounted for all of the runs in Saturday’s 2‑0 win for the Marlins against New York.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY): The former Marlin is even more important with Aaron Judge out. He will need to produce some power to keep the Yankees lineup humming along.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees come into this game on a two-game losing streak.
- Miami has won four games in a row going into this series finale.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Edward Cabrera | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 |
| Agustín Ramírez | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Miami is 2-0 against the Yankees so far this season.
- Both games in this series have been decided by two runs or less.
- This is the last time these teams will meet this season and Miami has a chance to sweep the season series.
Yankees vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Marlins 6
Win Probability: Yankees 49%, Marlins 51%
Final Thoughts
Both teams have been inconsistent on the mound and at the plate in this series. These teams combined for 25 runs on Friday and just two runs on Saturday. We should see another close game between these teams on Sunday. I think that game will go to the Marlins, as they should benefit from any struggles that Gil encounters in his first start for the Yankees since last year’s postseason.
