New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Pick – 8/2/2025
The New York Yankees and Miami Marlins played a chaotic game on Friday in which 25 total runs were scored. These interleague opponents will face one another on Saturday afternoon in South Florida. We do not expect another 25-run game between these teams. But we do expect another competitive game, and you can find out who we think will win it below with our Yankees vs Marlins prediction for Saturday.
Our Yankees vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Marlins moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 2, 2025, 4:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cam Schlittler vs Eury Pérez
- Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: YES and FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Key Storylines
- Pitching matchup: Cam Schlittler of the Yankees is still raw with strong velocity but a high walk rate. He enters this start with a 1-1 record and a 4.91 ERA. Eury Pérez has electric stuff. He is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA and has struck out 46 batters in 44 innings on the hill for Miami.
- Friday’s opener: The Marlins defeated New York in a wild 13‑12 comeback on Friday. The Yankees gave up nine runs in the final three innings of that game and will need to patch things up in their bullpen for this contest.
- Recent roster changes: The Yankees added David Bednar, Camilo Doval, and Jake Bird and will hope for an impact from any of them in the near future.
- Key Players: Giancarlo Stanton is a key player for the Yankees with Aaron Judge out due to injury. Stanton had a home run against his old team on Friday night. Kyle Stowers is the key man for the Marlins. He leads Miami in batting average, home runs, and RBI.
- Recent Momentum: New York had a three-game winning streak snapped by the Marlins on Friday night. That win extended Miami’s current winning streak to three games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | Home runs | Over 0.5 HR |
| Eury Pérez | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 K |
| Kyle Stowers | Total bases | Over 1.5 TB |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The first game of the season series between these teams went well over the total.
- Miami holds a 1-0 lead in their season series against the Yankees.
- New York is now 26-28 after that heartbreaking loss on Friday.
- Miami is just two games below .500 for the season coming into this game.
Yankees vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Yankees 4
Win Probability: Marlins 52%, Yankees 48%
Final Thoughts
This game will certainly not be easy for the Marlins. But I do expect Miami to come out on top as a slight underdog at home. The Marlins have a more reliable starting pitcher on the mound in Perez. They also proved on Friday that they can do enough hitting to hang with the lineup of the Yankees. I will take Miami to win this contest on the moneyline and to hand the Yankees a second straight defeat.
