Yankees vs Dodgers Game 2 Prediction & Picks 10/26/2024

• Date: October 26, 2024
• Venue: Dodger Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Carlos Rodon - Yankees
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Dodgers

Yankees vs Dodgers Game 2 Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees square off on October 26, 2024, in the second game of the World Series at Dodger Stadium. This clash brings together two powerhouse offenses, with the Dodgers leading MLB in home runs and ranking 1st in overall offensive capability, while the Yankees aren't far behind, ranking 3rd overall and 2nd in home runs.

The Dodgers, who emerged victorious in the series opener, will rely on Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who holds an impressive 7-2 record with a 3.00 ERA. As the 12th best starting pitcher according to the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, Yamamoto's elite groundball ability could neutralize the Yankees' home-run prowess. Despite projections suggesting he might struggle with innings and hits allowed, his control over walks could give him a slight edge against the patient Yankees lineup.

The Yankees counter with Carlos Rodon, who boasts a 16-9 record and a respectable 3.96 ERA. However, Rodon's high-flyball tendency may spell trouble against the Dodgers' power-packed lineup. While Rodon projects to allow more earned runs compared to Yamamoto, the Yankees' bullpen, ranked 3rd, could mitigate any early damage.

Betting markets favor the Dodgers with a -140 moneyline, implying a 56% chance of victory. Despite this, the Yankees' potent lineup and strong bullpen keep them competitive, reflected in their implied win probability of 44%. With both offenses capable of fireworks, expect a closely contested game where every pitch counts.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The New York Yankees (22.5% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-heavy lineup of the day.

• THE BAT X analyzes each player in today's specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoshinobu Yamamoto to throw 76 pitches in today's game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers' bullpen ranks as the 7th-best among all teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.05 Units / 12% ROI)

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: New York Yankees 4.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.70

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.