New York Yankees

New York Yankees

Oct 25, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers
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Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/25/2024

  • Date: October 25, 2024
  • Venue: Dodger Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Gerrit Cole - Yankees
    • Jack Flaherty - Dodgers

Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Yankees 110, Dodgers -130
Runline: Yankees 1.5 -185, Dodgers -1.5 160
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -115

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
New York Yankees - 46% New York Yankees - 47%
Los Angeles Dodgers - 54% Los Angeles Dodgers - 53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the New York Yankees on October 25, 2024, at Dodger Stadium in what promises to be an exciting opening game to the 2024 World Series. Both teams come with potent offenses, making this series opener one to watch. The Dodgers, renowned for their power, lead MLB in home runs this season. They also boast the 4th-best team batting average, showcasing their balanced offensive prowess. The Yankees, not to be outdone, rank 2nd in home runs and 9th in batting average, proving their lineup can also pack a punch.

The pitching matchup for this game pits Gerrit Cole of the Yankees against Jack Flaherty of the Dodgers. Cole is 1-0 in three starts this postseason, with an ERA of 3.31 in the playoffs so far. Flaherty is 1-2 this postseason, with a postseason ERA of 7.04. Which of these men can set the tone in this game could decide which team ends up with a 1-0 series lead at the end of this contest.

The betting markets give the Dodgers a slight edge with a moneyline of -125, translating to a 53% implied win probability. On the flip side, the Yankees have a moneyline of +105, which suggests a 47% chance of victory. This close matchup is reflected in the Game Total of 8.5 runs, indicating expectations of a high-scoring affair.

For the Dodgers, their projected run total of 4.40 runs could be bolstered by their impressive offense, especially given the Yankees’ struggles with stolen bases, where they rank 21st. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, supports the Dodgers' slight edge in this matchup. However, the Yankees’ own power and efficiency cannot be overlooked, as they aim to capitalize on any pitching vulnerabilities from the Dodgers.

With both teams showcasing top-tier offenses, this game is set to be a thrilling contest, highlighting the long-standing rivalry between two of baseball's most storied franchises. Spectators can expect a showcase of talent, particularly in the power department, as each team looks to strike first in this interleague series.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: New York Yankees 4.35 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.55

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+104
29% NYY
-121
71% LAD

Total Pick Consensus

9.0/-120
21% UN
9.0/+100
79% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-192
16% NYY
-1.5/+160
84% LAD

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYY
Team Stats
LAD
4.06
ERA
4.26
.231
Batting Avg Against
.239
1.25
WHIP
1.24
.276
BABIP
.288
8.8%
BB%
7.8%
23.5%
K%
23.0%
73.2%
LOB%
70.6%
.232
Batting Avg
.252
.402
SLG
.456
.709
OPS
.795
.307
OBP
.339
NYY
Team Records
LAD
44-37
Home
52-29
50-31
Road
46-35
73-45
vRHP
62-47
21-23
vLHP
36-17
55-38
vs>.500
51-41
39-30
vs<.500
47-23
5-5
Last10
8-2
12-8
Last20
13-7
16-14
Last30
20-10
G. Cole
J. Flaherty
156.1
Innings
N/A
25
GS
N/A
10-3
W-L
N/A
2.76
ERA
N/A
9.56
K/9
N/A
2.42
BB/9
N/A
0.86
HR/9
N/A
80.7%
LOB%
N/A
9.8%
HR/FB%
N/A
3.33
FIP
N/A
3.69
xFIP
N/A
.213
AVG
N/A
26.6%
K%
N/A
6.7%
BB%
N/A
3.74
SIERA
N/A

G. Cole

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/30 KC
Hernandez N/A
W3-0 N/A
6
5
0
0
6
2
57-91
4/19 DET
Alexander N/A
W4-2 N/A
1.2
1
2
2
3
5
37-68
4/13 TOR
Berrios N/A
L4-6 N/A
5.2
4
3
3
6
1
54-85
4/8 BOS
Eovaldi N/A
W6-5 N/A
4
4
3
3
3
1
42-68
10/5 BOS
Eovaldi N/A
L2-6 N/A
2
4
3
3
3
2
30-50

J. Flaherty

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/24 CHC
Davies N/A
W12-4 N/A
0.1
2
2
2
1
1
10-19
8/24 DET
Mize N/A
L3-4 N/A
2
4
4
4
1
3
25-46
8/18 MIL
Peralta N/A
L4-6 N/A
6
4
2
2
8
1
56-92
8/13 KC
Minor N/A
W6-0 N/A
6
2
0
0
5
0
52-81
5/31 LAD
Bauer N/A
L4-9 N/A
5
2
2
2
9
1
50-83

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYY LAD
NYY LAD
Consensus
+109
-128
+104
-121
+110
-130
+105
-125
+110
-130
+106
-124
+110
-129
+105
-121
+110
-130
-105
-115
+110
-130
+105
-125
Open
Current
Book
NYY LAD
NYY LAD
Consensus
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+161)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (158)
-1.5 (+162)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-192)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
9.0 (-104)
9.0 (-119)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)
8.5 (+102)
8.5 (-124)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.0 (-113)
8.0 (-107)
9.0 (-104)
9.0 (-118)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)