New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction – 5/28/2025

On May 28, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the New York Yankees at Angel Stadium for the third game of their series. The Yankees, currently sitting at 34-20, are enjoying a strong season and boast the best offense in MLB, ranking 1st in home runs and 3rd in batting average. Meanwhile, the Angels are struggling at 25-29, with their offense ranked 23rd overall, highlighting their challenges this season.

In their last game, the Yankees showcased their power by hitting multiple home runs, a trend that could continue against Angels' starter Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi, a left-handed pitcher, has a below-average Power Ranking at 125th among MLB starters and has a concerning tendency to allow fly balls (37% FB%). This could be problematic against a Yankees lineup that has already belted 88 home runs this season. Furthermore, Kikuchi's high walk rate of 11.5% could play into the Yankees' strength, as they lead the league in drawing walks.

On the mound for the Yankees will be Clarke Schmidt, who ranks 61st among MLB starters. Schmidt has had an average season with a 4.58 ERA but is projected to improve, as his xERA suggests he has been unlucky. With a high walk rate of 12.1%, he may find some challenges against the Angels, who rank 2nd in the least walks drawn.

While the Angels' offense has shown some power, ranking 4th in home runs, they struggle overall and will need to capitalize on any opportunities against Schmidt. The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for scoring, but the Yankees' strong lineup and the Angels' inconsistencies suggest a challenging matchup for the home team. With the Angels as underdogs at +145, this game could be pivotal for them to turn their season around.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Clarke Schmidt is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph average.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees' bullpen grades out as the 7th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Yusei Kikuchi has utilized his non-fastballs 8.4% more often this year (61.5%) than he did last season (53.1%).

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

Taylor Ward is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: New York Yankees 5, Los Angeles Angels 3.98

• Date: May 28, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Clarke Schmidt - Yankees
  • Yusei Kikuchi - Angels

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.