New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 8/14/2024

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Details

• Date: August 14, 2024
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Will Warren - Yankees
  • Davis Martin - White Sox

Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The New York Yankees travel to Chicago to face off against the Chicago White Sox on August 14, 2024, in a matchup where the Yankees are heavy favorites. As it stands, the Yankees are 71-50 this season, showcasing their position as a powerhouse with the top-ranked offense, while the White Sox struggle at 29-92, holding the 30th spot in overall team rankings.

In the last game of this series, which took place yesterday, the Yankees emerged victorious, highlighted by Juan Soto's three home run performance at the plate. The White Sox have had a dismal season, failing to contend for any postseason aspirations. As for the pitching matchup, the Yankees are set to send out Will Warren, who has struggled this year with a staggering ERA of 11.17. However, projections suggest he may perform better given his higher xFIP of 4.75, indicating potential improvement.

On the other side, the White Sox will start Davis Martin, whose ERA of 3.65 appears decent, yet his underlying metrics tell a different story. With a 5.14 xFIP, there are concerns about his luck running out, especially facing a potent lineup like the Yankees. Martin's ability to limit runs will be put to the test, especially since he has a high flyball rate and the Yankees rank 2nd in the league with 149 home runs.

With both teams having vastly different offensive capabilities, the game total is set at a high 9.5 runs. Considering the pitchers' inconsistencies and their respective offenses, the projections favor a strong outing for the Yankees, setting them up for another likely win in this ongoing series. Bettors should keep an eye on the Yankees' robust lineup against a struggling White Sox pitching staff as they seek to maximize their betting potential.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Giancarlo Stanton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 94.3-mph average.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the New York Yankees.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Davis Martin was rolling in his previous game started and gave up 0 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

New York's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Miguel Vargas, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

The Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 91 games (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+20.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Final Score: New York Yankees 6.3 vs Chicago White Sox 4.38

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.