New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction – 8/28/2025
The New York Yankees will visit the Chicago White Sox in the opening game of a four-game series on Thursday night. New York enters this series playing well and will look to extend their current winning streak in their first meeting of the year with the White Sox. Before these American League teams face off, continue reading to get my Yankees vs White Sox prediction for tonight.
Our Yankees vs White Sox Pick
- Pick: White Sox +1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 28, 2025, 7:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Yankees: Will Warren (7–6, 4.47 ERA)
- White Sox: Davis Martin (5–9, 3.93 ERA)
- Stadium: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: CHSN and YES
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Will Warren brings a middling 4.47 ERA into this start for the Yankees. Davis Martin offers a slightly better 3.93 ERA. But both starting pitchers in this game have concerning metrics in hard-hit and barrel-rate categories. This could mean that we are in for a high-scoring first few innings with both teams having power in their lineups.
Key Players
The power hitters on each side will be the key players in this matchup. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton lead the charge in that department for New York. The White Sox have relied heavily on the power of Lenyn Sosa and he will aim to time up Will Warren to make an impact on this game.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees enter on a four-game winning streak after sweeping the Washington Nationals in their last series.
- The White Sox have won three of their last five games but have lost two games in a row to the Kansas City Royals before the start of this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Cody Bellinger | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Lenyn Sosa | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first time these teams have played each other so far this season.
- The Yankees and White Sox will face off seven times between this game and the end of the regular season.
- New York comes into this game at 32-32 away from home on the year.
- Chicago is 10 games below .500 at home at 29-39 this season.
Yankees vs White Sox Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – White Sox 4
Win Probability: Yankees 52%, White Sox 48%
Final Thoughts
Both teams should see some success offensively in this contest against pitchers who are prone to making mistakes that lead to hard contact. I do think that the Yankees ultimately win this game thanks to their superior depth in the power-hitting department. But I will take the White Sox to cover the runline as they should do enough damage against Will Warren to keep this game close.
