New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 7/20/2025

The New York Yankees will close out a three‑game interleague set against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday afternoon. Both teams have won a game in this series so far. That sets up an interesting rubber match that the Braves will desperately hope to win at home to kickstart a second-half turnaround. Here, I have broken down this game from all angles and have given you my Yankees vs Braves prediction for this series finale.

Our Yankees vs Braves Pick

  • Pick: Yankees Moneyline
  • Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: New York Yankees @ Atlanta Braves
  • Date & Time: Sunday, July 20, 2025, 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs Grant Holmes
  • Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: YES Network, FanDuel Sports South/SE, MLB.tv

Key Storylines

  1. Yankees offensive firepower: The Yankees are coming off a game where they scored 12 runs in a win over the Braves on Saturday.
  2. Atlanta’s uphill climb: The Braves rank fourth in NL East. They are 12.5 games back in the NL East standings and need to start winning series more consistently to have a chance to come back.
  3. Rubber match: These old-school interleague rivals split the first two games of this series and both will be looking to claim a series win to start the second half of their season.

Pitching Form

Marcus Stroman: Stroman is struggling with a 6.66 ERA and an alarming 1.64 WHIP. He has to be better to avoid major damage against a quality Braves lineup.

Grant Holmes: Holmes is 4‑8 despite striking out 119 batters in 105 innings. He does have a tendency to give up home runs. That could be a problem against Aaron Judge and the Yankees lineup.

Bullpen Usage

Both bullpens were used heavily on Saturday. Both bullpens also struggled to get outs in that game. There were 21 total runs scored in that contest and the pens will have to be better on both sides in this rubber match.

Recent Team Streaks

  • The Yankees snapped a three-game losing streak by getting the win against the Braves on Saturday.
  • Atlanta has won three of its last five games but could not get the job done at home yesterday.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Aaron JudgeOver 0.5 HR
Marcus StromanOver 4.5 Strikeouts
Ronald Acuña Jr.Over 1.5 Total Bases
  • These teams are tied 1-1 in their season series this year.
  • Both games between these teams this season have gone over their respective totals.
  • The Yankees are 24-25 on the road this year. Atlanta is 25-23 at home.

Yankees vs Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Braves 4

Win Probability: Yankees 52%, Braves 48%

Final Thoughts

I am concerned about the Yankees sending Stroman to the mound for this game. But I still think the Yankees have a favorable matchup offensively here. Look for Judge to go deep against a pitcher in Holmes who is vulnerable to giving up the home run ball. And look for the Yankees to secure a series win over a franchise they have played in the World Series on multiple occasions in the past.


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