New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/18/2025

The New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves have plenty of history against one another. They will face off in a series opening game in Atlanta on Friday night. Both teams feature players who were in Tuesday’s All-Star game at this same stadium. Both teams will look for a win at Truist Park to start the second half of their seasons. Here, I will break down this interleague game and give you my Yankees vs Braves prediction.

Our Yankees vs Braves Pick

• Pick: Braves moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: New York Yankees at Atlanta Braves
• Date & Time: July 18, 2025, 7:15 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Undecided vs Spencer Strider
• Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
• Broadcast: MLB Network

Key Storylines

1. The Yankees have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this game. Who they end up using will determine how much of a chance they have in this contest.
2. Spencer Strider is on the bump for the Braves. Strider is 3-7 with a 3.94 ERA for the season. Which version of Strider we get in this game could help determine its outcome.
3. The Yankees dropped two games in a row going into the All-Star break.
4. Atlanta starts their second half at 42-53 and in desperate need of wins to help their chances of making the playoffs.
5. The Braves have the bullpen advantage going into this contest. They rank inside of the top 10 in bullpen ERA this year. If the Yankees’ starting pitching situation is not workable, Atlanta could have a huge edge against an inferior group of relief pitchers.

Betting Trends & H2H

• This is the first meeting between these teams in the 2025 MLB season.
• The Yankees are 23-24 on the road this year. The Braves are 24-22 on the road.
• New York is 32-26 in night games this season. The Braves are 30-33 at night in 2025.

New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: Braves 5 – Yankees 3

Win Probability: Braves 61%, Yankees 39%

Final Thoughts

It would be smart for you to wait until a starting pitcher is confirmed for this game before locking in any bets. But I’ll go with the Braves to get the job done at home in this contest. Strider is a known quantity on the mound, while the Yankees’ starting pitching situation is in flux. Expect that and the bullpen edge for the Braves to make the difference tonight.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.