New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pick – 8/20/2025
The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will play in the second game of a three-game series from Nationals Park on Wednesday. The Mets dominated the opening game of this series on the road. They will give the ball to a strong starting pitcher in search of a second straight win over the Nats. Before these NL East rivals go at it, continue reading to get my Mets vs Nationals prediction for Wednesday.
Our Mets vs Nationals Pick
- Pick: New York Mets -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 20, 2025, 6:45 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Kodai Senga vs Brad Lord
- Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: MASN, SNY
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Kodai Senga has been excellent for the Mets so far this year. He enters this start with a 2.35 ERA in just under 100 innings of work. He is winless in his last three starts but has had an impressive season overall for New York. Brad Lord enters this start with a 3.26 ERA. He will have to deal with the pressure to perform while knowing that one of the worst bullpens in baseball is waiting behind him.
Key Players
The Mets’ offense is on fire of late. They’ve hit 24 home runs, slugged .571, and batted .300 over their last 10 games. The Mets scored eight runs on Tuesday and will look for more contributions from Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor here. Washington’s offense is less potent but hitters like CJ Abrams are always a threat to give opposing pitchers trouble.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets have won three games in a row coming into this contest.
- Washington has lost two games in a row and three of its last four outings.
Best Player Props
| Category | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Home Runs | Juan Soto: 1+ HR |
| Strikeouts | Kodai Senga: Over 5.5 Ks |
| Total Bases | Francisco Lindor: Over 1.5 TB |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets have won five straight games against the Nationals.
- New York leads the season series against the Nationals by a margin of 6-2.
- These teams are 2-2 against each other in games held at Nationals Park this year.
Mets vs Nationals Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 5, Nationals 3
Win Probability: Mets 65%, Nationals 35%.
Final Thoughts
The Mets have dominated the Nationals ever since the month of April. I expect that to continue in this game and for the Mets to win and cover the runline on the road. We should see Senga get his first win in a bit and for the offense of the Mets to get the better of Brad Lord tonight.
