New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction – 7/27/2025
The New York Mets will look to extend their lead in the National League East as they face the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Sunday Night Baseball. The Mets have won the first two games of this series and will look to complete a sweep in this contest. Here, I analyze this National League matchup and make my Mets vs Giants prediction.
Our Mets vs Giants Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025, 7:10 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Kodai Senga vs Matt Gage
- Stadium: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Kodai Senga is 7–3 with a 1.79 ERA in 2025 for the Mets. The right-hander has been dominant on the road so far this season. He has allowed just one earned run over his last two away starts. He has 10 strikeouts in 10 innings in those two outings. His consistency will be a welcome sight for Mets fans today.
The Giants’ starting pitcher is Matt Gage. Gage is a reliever and the Giants will be going with their bullpen for the duration of this contest. Fortunately for the Giants, they have one of the best bullpen ERAs in baseball and can trust their pen in spots like this.
Key Players
- Juan Soto (NYM): The outfielder leads the Mets with 24 home runs and has 61 RBI for the year.
- Wilmer Flores (SF): Flores is facing his former team in this game. He leads the Giants with 59 RBI on the season.
Recent Team Streaks
- Mets: The Mets have won six straight games coming into this contest.
- Giants: San Francisco has dropped two straight games coming into this series finale.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Kodai Senga | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets lead the season series against the Giants by a 2-0 margin.
- The over/under has gone 1-1 in the two meetings between these teams in 2025.
Mets vs Giants Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mets 5 – Giants 3
- Win Probability: Mets 60.48%, Giants 39.52%
Final Thoughts
The Mets enter this game with a clear advantage in starting pitching. Senga’s recent form should only help the red-hot Mets in this matchup. The Giants’ uncertainty on the mound and recent struggles at the plate make them vulnerable in this game to me. I will take the Mets on the moneyline to complete a three-game sweep of San Francisco tonight.
