New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction – 7/29/2025
The New York Mets are set to face the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night at Petco Park in San Diego. The Padres won a wild game between these teams on Monday night and the Mets will look to bounce back on the road here. Before the Mets and Padres do battle in this game, you can continue reading to get my Mets vs Padres prediction.
Our Mets vs Padres Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres |
| Date & Time | July 29, 2025, 9:40 PM EDT |
| Starting Pitchers | Sean Manaea (NYM) vs. Ryan Bergert (SD) |
| Stadium | Petco Park, San Diego, CA |
| Broadcast | MLB Network |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: The New York Mets will go with Sean Manaea on the bump to start this contest. Manaea is 1-1 and has a 2.19 ERA in his 12.1 innings of work this season. His level of performance will be crucial for the Mets in this game and during their playoff push this season. Manaea will go against Ryan Bergert of the Padres. Bergert is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA. Both pitchers will look to build on encouraging starts to their seasons.
Bullpen Usage: The Padres’ bullpen ranks first in MLB in bullpen ERA. The Mets rank seventh in that category. But both bullpens had their share of struggles in last night’s 7-6 thriller.
Team Momentum: The Mets have won 7 of their last 10 games but had their winning streak snapped by the Padres last night. The Padres are 5-5 in their last 10 and have won three games in a row.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Pete Alonso | RBI | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Padres are 1-0 against the Mets so far this year.
- The first game of this series went over the total with 13 total runs scored.
The Mets dropped to 25-29 on the road for the season after last night’s loss.
Mets vs Padres Model Projection
Projected Score: Mets 5 – Padres 3
Win Probability: Mets 58% | Padres 42%
Final Thoughts
I am going to go with the Mets to win on the road over the Padres in this game. The Mets blew a big lead against San Diego on Monday night. I don’t expect them to do the same here. Look for Manaea to have a strong outing on the mound for New York and for their bullpen to do a better job of holding the lead this time around.
