New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 8/8/2025
The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers faced off in the postseason last year. They both find themselves in position to make the playoffs again this season. But before they can worry about October, we will see them face each other at American Family Field on Friday night. Continue reading to get my analysis for this huge National League matchup, including my Mets vs Brewers prediction for this series opener.
Our Mets vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Friday, August 8, 2025, 8:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Brewers – Brandon Woodruff (3‑0, 2.22 ERA)
- Mets – Kodai Senga (7‑3, 2.31 ERA)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FDSWI and SNY
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Brandon Woodruff has returned to the Milwaukee rotation and has delivered with a 2.22 ERA so far. His 0.64 in 28.1 innings of work is evidence that his form is strong heading into this weekend. Kodai Senga remains a reliable force for the Mets with a 2.31 ERA and just 68 hits allowed in 89.2 innings of work for the season.
Key Players
- Christian Yelich leads Milwaukee’s offense with 21 home runs and 74 RBI. He’s batting over .350 in his last five games and riding a two-game hitting streak.
- Andrew Vaughn has been hot for the Brewers and will try to keep it that way to put pressure on Senga.
- The Mets’ offense has sputtered recently. They have scored just three total runs over their last two games and need their bats to wake up in this game.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Brewers are red hot. They have won six straight games and have extended their lead in the NL Central.
- The Mets are on a four-game losing streak and are faltering in the NL East race.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Brandon Woodruff | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Kodai Senga | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- New York leads the season series 2-1 over the Brewers.
- Milwaukee is 34-24 at home on the season.
- The Mets are 25-31 away from Citi Field on the year.
- New York has been outscored 26-13 over their last four games.
Mets vs Brewers Model Projection
Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Mets 3
Win Probability: Brewers 60 %, Mets 40 %
Final Thoughts
These teams are heading in opposite directions going into Friday’s series opener in Milwaukee. The Mets are struggling both at the plate and on the mound. Milwaukee looks like it is turning a corner and playing some of its best baseball. I expect both of those trends to continue in this game and for the Brewers to win this contest. I’ll take the Brewers to cover the runline as a favorite as they should get their seventh win in a row in convincing fashion behind Woodruff.
