New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Prediction – 7/12/2025

The New York Mets will look to continue their winning ways as they head into the second game of a three-game series against the Kansas City Royals on Saturday. The Mets rallied for an 8-3 victory over the Royals on Friday. They boast a lineup loaded with power threats who will look to put together another big game here. Will the Mets get the job done? Continue reading to get my Mets vs Royals prediction for Saturday afternoon.

Our Mets vs Royals Pick

• Pick: Mets moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Frankie Montas (NYM) vs Michael Lorenzen (KC)
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium
• Broadcast: SNY, Bally Sports Kansas City

Key Storylines

• The Mets trailed 3-1 going into the eighth inning of Friday’s game against the Royals. But they scored seven runs in the final two frames to get the win. They will look to build on that offensively in this game.
• Frankie Montas aims for improvement after a 6.14 ERA to this point in the season. He has given up four home runs in 14.2 innings of work so far in 2025.
• Michael Lorenzen seeks back-to-back strong outings following seven shutout innings in his last time out.
• The Mets snapped a two-game losing streak with Friday’s win. Kansas City had a four-game winning streak snapped by the Mets last night.

Best Player Props

Mets vs Royals Model Projection

Score Projection: Mets 5 – Royals 3

Win Probability: Mets 56%, Royals 44%

Final Thoughts

The Mets may not be able to rely on Frankie Montas for a quality start in this game. But they can rely on their offense to do damage against Lorenzen and the rest of the Royals’ pitching staff. I expect the Mets to build on their late-inning offensive explosion from Friday night. The Mets will win this game and they could end the day back in first place in the NL East standings, depending on how the Phillies do against the Padres later in the day.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.