New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Pick – 7/11/2025

The Mets welcome Kodai Senga back to the mound against the Kansas City Royals on Friday night at Kauffman Stadium. The Mets are coming off of a pair of losses in a doubleheader on Thursday. They will look to bounce back against a Royals team that has struggled to find their footing in 2025. Here, we break down this interleague game and make our Mets vs Royals prediction.

Our Mets vs Royals Pick

  • The pick: Kansas City Royals moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
  • Bonus Bets For the Game: Use bet365 promo code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets on today’s MLB action!

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
✓ Early Payouts
✓ 100% Parlay Boost
✓ Daily LineUps
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Claim Bonus
Promo Code:
✓ Early Payouts
✓ 100% Parlay Boost
✓ Daily LineUps
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Claim Bonus
Promo Code:
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: New York Mets at Kansas City Royals
  • Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025, 8:10 p.m. EDT
  • Starting Pitchers: Kodai Senga vs Michael Wacha
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • Broadcast: FDSKC (Kansas City), SNY (New York)

Key Storylines

  • Senga’s return: Making his first MLB start since June 13 after a hamstring issue. His elite 1.47 ERA could really help the Mets if he doesn’t experience any rust in this start.
  • Wacha’s consistency: A 3.83 ERA isn’t eye‑popping. But Wacha has been steady for the Royals so far this season.
  • Royals on a roll: The Royals swept the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. But facing the Mets will be a much tougher challenge. It will be interesting to see how KC responds to it.

Recent Team Streaks

  • Mets: Fell in both games of yesterday’s twin bill against the Orioles. New York has lost three of its last four.
  • Royals: Winners in four straight games going into this series opener.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Juan SotoOver 1.5 total bases
Pete Alonso1+ Home run
Kodai SengaUnder 5.5 strikeouts

Mets vs Royals Model Projection

Score Projection: Mets 4 – Royals 5

Win Probability: Mets 51% • Royals 49%

Final Thoughts

I’m not convinced that Kodai Senga is going to return from injury and dominate right away. The Mets have struggled recently and they should continue to do so against a solid pitcher in Wacha. I’ll take the Royals as a slight underdog in this contest to open this three-game weekend set.


Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.

̈́

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home MLB Picks New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Pick – 7/11/2025