New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 9/3/2025
The New York Mets will close out a three-game series against the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday afternoon. New York has dominated this series so far and their offense has been firing on all cylinders at Comerica Park. Will New York continue to light up the scoreboard in the Motor City? Continue reading to get my Mets vs Tigers prediction for this series finale between two teams headed for the postseason.
Our Mets vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 3, 2025, 1:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Clay Holmes (Mets) vs Casey Mize (Tigers)
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Clay Holmes is a converted reliever turned starter. He has delivered a reliable 3.60 ERA over 142.1 innings this season. His starts have trended shorter in recent outings. But his ability to keep runs off the board for the most part has made him an asset in the Mets’ rotation.
Casey Mize was an All-Star back in July. But he has labored through a rough stretch since then. He has a 7+ ERA in his last eight starts and is giving up plenty of damage. That could be a problem against a Mets offense that has been clicking in this series so far.
Key Players
- Juan Soto: Juan Soto has hit home runs in back-to-back games to start this series for the Mets.
- Pete Alonso: Alonso had two home runs for the Mets in Tuesday’s win. He is up to 112 RBI on the season.
- Tigers Bullpen: Detroit has allowed 22 runs through the first two games of this series and they will need to see better from their relief pitchers.
Recent team streaks
The Mets have taken two games in a row and they are 3-2 over their last five games. Detroit has lost two games in a row and three of their last four. But the Tigers still hold a comfortable nine-game lead in the AL Central standings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Clay Holmes | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
| Pete Alonso | Over 1.5 Total bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets hold a 2-0 lead over the Tigers in the season series between these teams.
- Both games in this series have gone well over their respective totals.
- New York has scored 10 or more runs in three of their last five games.
Mets vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 6 – Tigers 5
Win Probability: Mets 55%, Tigers 45%
Final Thoughts
I think that we will see the Mets win another high-scoring game from Detroit on Wednesday afternoon. Casey Mize has struggled on the mound for Detroit and that should make a big difference against a Mets offense that has been excellent of late. Look for New York to complete a three-game sweep and for the Tigers to be glad to see the Mets leave Detroit after today.
