New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 7/9/2025

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles went to extra innings in their series opener on Tuesday. The Mets won that game by a run and will look for a second straight win at Camden Yards on Wednesday. But the Orioles have other plans and will hope to even this series at a game apiece. Here, I break down this interleague game and make my Mets vs Orioles prediction for Wednesday night.

Our Mets vs Orioles Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, July 9, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: David Peterson vs Tomoyuki Sugano
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

David Peterson is 6-4 with a 3.18 ERA for the season. Tomoyuki Sugano has struggled of late with a 4.44 ERA. Both pitchers come into this game with winning records. But both could face challenges against potent lineups for the opposition.

Bullpen usage

Both bullpens were put through an extra-innings war last night. That was a high-scoring game as well. Which bullpen does the better job of bouncing back will give their team a huge advantage in this contest.

Recent team streaks

The Mets have won four of their last five games following a rough patch in their season. The Orioles had a three-game winning streak snapped in yesterday’s loss to the Mets.

Best Player Props

Here are some top prop plays:

PropSuggestion
David Peterson StrikeoutsOver 5.5
Jeff McNeil Total BasesOver 1.5
Pete Alonso Home RunsOver 0.5
  • The Mets have won the only game in the season series between these teams this year.
  • New York is 20-25 on the road this season. The Orioles are 19-23 at home.
  • New York is 46-46 on the runline for the year. The Orioles are 40-50 on the runline this season.

Mets vs Orioles Model Projection

Score Projection: Mets 5 – Orioles 3
Win Probability: Mets 64% Orioles 36%

Final Thoughts

I think that the Mets have the best chance to win this game on Wednesday night. Peterson is pitching well for the Mets and their offense has been more consistent throughout the year. My expectation is for the Mets to take an early lead behind Peterson and for their bullpen to do enough to secure this game down the stretch. I’ll take the Mets on the moneyline in this game that is airing nationally on ESPN.


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Home MLB Picks New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 7/9/2025