New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 7/8/2025
When you think of matchups between New York and Baltimore in baseball, you typically think about the Yankees and Orioles. But it will be the Mets and Orioles facing off to open a three-game series on Tuesday, July 8 at Camden Yards. Here, I break down this interleague game and make my Mets vs Orioles prediction from Baltimore.
Our Mets vs Orioles Pick
Pick: Mets moneyline
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Bonus Bets For the Game: Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets instantly. Click the Claim Bonus button to claim our DraftKings Sportsbook promo code!
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Wins
Starting Pitchers: Clay Holmes (Mets) vs Brandon Young (Orioles)
Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Broadcast: MASN (Orioles) & SNY (Mets)
Key Storylines
Pitching form: Clay Holmes brings an 8-4 record and 2.99 ERA into this start. He has held opponents to two runs or less in four of his last five starts. Baltimore’s Brandon Young has struggled this season. He is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA. He has yet to pitch five full innings in his four starts in 2025.
Bullpen usage: The Orioles have struggled with their bullpen this season. They rank 25th in the league in bullpen ERA. The Mets are 13th in that category and have a huge advantage in the battle of the bullpens here.
Recent team streaks: The Mets have won four of five, winning two of three against the Yankees in their last series. The Orioles swept Atlanta and are on a three-game winning streak.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Line
Pete Alonso (NYM)
Home runs
Over 0.5 (+330)
Jeff McNeil (NYM)
Total bases
Over 1.5 (+125)
Brandon Young (BAL)
Strikeouts
Over 3.5 (-115)
Betting Trends & H2H
This is the first game of the season series between these teams. This three-game set is the only series they will play this year.
Baltimore is 39-50 on the runline this year, ranking 27th in runline win percentage.
Both teams have gone under the total in at least 53% of their games in 2025.
The Mets are 19-25 on the road, and the Orioles are 19-22 at home.
Mets vs Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 6 – Orioles 5
Win Probability: Mets 52%, Orioles 48%
Final Thoughts
My model shows that the Mets are set to win this game in Baltimore. Their starting pitching and relief pitching are both superior than that of the Orioles. I expect a strong start from Holmes once again and for New York’s National League team to put an end to the three-game winning streak of the Orioles in a game that goes over the total.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 7/8/2025
Manage Consent
To deliver optimal experiences, we use cookies to gather device data. Your consent enables us to process information such as browsing habits. Withdrawing consent may affect the site’s functionality.
Functional Always active
Technical storage or access is essential to provide the requested service or facilitate communication over the network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
he storage or access is only for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
Storage or access is needed to create user profiles for ads or track users across websites for marketing.