New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 8/24/2025
The New York Mets have done exactly what they have needed to do in the first two games of their weekend series against the Atlanta Braves. New York has won the first two games of this series and they have built some cushion in the NL Wild Card hunt. They face the Braves again today as they look to get another huge win for their playoff hopes. Continue reading to get my Mets vs Braves prediction for Sunday afternoon.
Our Mets vs Braves Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 24, 2025, 1:35 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: David Peterson (Mets) vs Bryce Elder (Braves)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
David Peterson is 8-5 with a 3.18 ERA and 127 strikeouts over 144.1 innings. He offers a reliable left-handed arm for New York. He’s helped solidify the rotation and often performs well as a moneyline favorite. Atlanta turns to Bryce Elder for this game. Elder is 5-9 with a 6.29 ERA and 90 strikeouts over 111.2 innings. Elder has struggled with consistency and surrendered 19 homers. The edge clearly tilts toward Peterson’s steadiness and performance in this pitching matchup.
Recent Team Streaks
Mets have won their last two games convincingly over the Braves. They lead this series by a combined 21-9 over the first two games of the series. They’re looking poised to complete a sweep. The Braves have lost three of their last five games and remain one of the biggest disappointments in baseball for the year.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 0.5 |
| David Peterson | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Matt Olson | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves lead the season series over the Mets 7-5 coming into this game.
- This is the final game scheduled between these division rivals in the 2025 regular season.
- New York is 26-23 in day games so far this year.
- Atlanta is 16-25 in daytime games during the 2025 season.
Mets vs Braves Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mets 5 – Braves 3
- Win Probability: Mets 60%, Braves 40%
Final Thoughts
The Braves hold the upper hand in the season series against the Mets. But they have certainly not held the upper hand during this three-game series from Atlanta. The struggles of the Braves should continue in this game as well. David Peterson should do more than enough to help the Mets get a win on the road to lock up the sweep in this three-game set.
