New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 8/23/2025
The New York Mets will meet the Atlanta Braves in an NL East matchup on Saturday night from Atlanta. The Mets enjoyed an offensive outburst in the first game of this series and they will look for a repeat performance in this game at Truist Park. Before the Mets and Braves renew their rivalry on Saturday, continue reading to get my Mets vs Braves prediction.
Our Mets vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025, 7:15 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Mets – Clay Holmes (10-6, 3.64 ERA)
- Braves – Cal Quantrill (4-10, 5.50 ERA)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: FDSSO and SNY
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Clay Holmes has been a reliable arm atop the Mets’ rotation. He has a solid 3.64 ERA across 131 innings with 105 strikeouts. His recent outings have seen him throw around five innings each with high efficiency. Cal Quantrill was acquired off waivers from the Miami Marlins and arrives with a troubling 5.50 ERA. He has failed to last more than 4⅓ innings in any of his August starts. The pitching matchup leans heavily in New York’s favor.
Key Players
The bullpens will be the key figures on both sides going into this matchup. Both teams struggled with their pitching on Friday in a game where 19 total runs were scored. Bullpen management will be huge here as both teams had to go through arms in a game where getting outs was anything but a given for both sides.
Recent Team Streaks
The Mets snapped a two-game losing streak with their win over the Braves on Friday night. Atlanta had a two-game winning streak snapped with Friday’s loss and proved that they once again struggle with quality competition.
Best Player Props
| Player | Category | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
| Clay Holmes | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Pete Alonso | Total bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves hold a 7-4 lead in their head-to-head series against the Mets this season.
- We have seen the winner score double-digits in three of the last four games between these teams.
- The Braves are a .500 team at home this season. They dropped to 32-32 at home with Friday’s loss to the Mets.
- New York is 27-36 on the road for the year.
Mets vs Braves Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 5 – Braves 3
Win Probability: Mets 54%, Braves 46%
Final Thoughts
The Mets have a huge starting pitching advantage going into this game with Clay Holmes taking on a struggling Cal Quantrill. It would be nice to see a change of scenery help Quantrill get his career back on track. But I don’t think that is going to happen in this game, as the Mets should win on the road over the highly disappointing Atlanta Braves.
