New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 8/22/2025
The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will do battle in NL East competition on Friday night. The Mets are in the thick of the playoff race in the National League and the Braves will look to play spoiler this weekend. Before the action begins from Atlanta, continue reading to get my Mets vs Braves prediction from Truist Park.
Our Mets vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Braves moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Friday, August 22, 2025, 7:15 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Nolan McLean (Mets) vs Joey Wentz (Braves)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Nolan McLean makes just his second MLB start after an impressive debut. He delivered 5.1 scoreless innings with eight strikeouts and held opponents to a .118 average in that outing. Joey Wentz will get the start for the Braves. He has a 4.72 ERA and a .241 opponent average going into tonight’s start. Whichever starter can perform better under pressure will give their team the inside track.
Key Players
- Mets: Juan Soto and Pete Alonso supply the power in this Mets lineup and will look to help their team with some key at-bats.
- Braves: Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson will be the focal points for this Braves team. They have been disappointing this year and will look to turn things around now.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets have lost two straight games and lost their last series to the Washington Nationals.
- The Braves have won two games in a row and four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Pete Alonso | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Joey Wentz | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves have a 7-3 advantage over the Mets in their season series this year.
- The Braves have won the last two games they played against the Mets.
- New York is 26-36 on the road for the season.
- The Braves are 32-31 in their home games for the year.
Mets vs Braves Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 4 – Braves 5
Win Probability: Mets 45%, Braves 55%
Final Thoughts
McLean looked great in his first start for the Mets. But I expect some regression from him here. The Braves have been a huge disappointment this season but they should be able to score some runs against McLean in this contest. I’ll go with the Braves to pick up the victory and to deal the Mets a significant blow in their playoff race.
