Mets at Dodgers Game 2 Pick For 10/14/2024

• Date: October 14, 2024
• Venue: Dodger Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Sean Manaea - Mets
  • Undecided - Dodgers

Mets vs Dodgers Game 2 Betting Odds

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the New York Mets on October 14, 2024, in the second game of their National League Championship Series matchup at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers, who hold the advantage in the series after a dominant 9-0 victory over the Mets on October 13, look to capitalize on their home-field edge.

On the mound, the Dodgers have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this contest. On the other side, the Mets will counter with lefty Sean Manaea, who boasts a 3.47 ERA over 32 starts this season. While Manaea has been effective throughout the year, the projections indicate he might struggle against the Dodgers' powerful lineup, which ranks 1st in home runs and 4th in batting average.

Offensively, the Dodgers are led by Shohei Ohtani, who has been a force all season with a .308 batting average and a 1.024 OPS. Meanwhile, the Mets' lineup is powered by Francisco Lindor, who has a .272 batting average and a .842 OPS. The Dodgers' offense, ranked as the 1st best in baseball, will look to exploit Manaea's high flyball tendency, especially given their home run prowess.

The betting market favors the Dodgers with a moneyline of -145, translating to an implied win probability of 57%. Given their recent performance and powerful lineup, the Dodgers seem well-positioned to extend their series lead against a Mets team that needs to find answers quickly.

Quick Takes New York Mets:

The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Brasier is projected to throw 17 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Sean Manaea today.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+23.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 65 of their last 114 games (+16.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 4.34 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.58

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