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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction For 8/29/2024
- Date: August 29, 2024
- Venue: Chase Field
- Starting Pitchers:
- David Peterson - Mets
- Ryne Nelson - D-Backs
Betting Odds
Moneyline: | Mets 100, D-Backs -120 |
Runline: | Mets 1.5 -195, D-Backs -1.5 170 |
Over/Under Total: | 8.5 -110 |
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
New York Mets - 48% | New York Mets - 47.89% |
Arizona Diamondbacks - 52% | Arizona Diamondbacks - 52.11% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the New York Mets on August 29, 2024, at Chase Field, the stakes are high in this National League matchup. The Diamondbacks currently hold a strong record of 76-57, sitting firmly in the playoff hunt, while the Mets, at 69-64, are battling for relevance in the postseason race. Just yesterday, the Diamondbacks bested the Mets 8-5, showcasing their offensive prowess.
Starting for the Diamondbacks is Ryne Nelson, who has had an average season, ranking as the 115th best pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. Despite an ERA of 4.29, his 3.61 FIP indicates he may have been a bit unlucky, hinting at potential for improved performance. In his last outing, Nelson pitched well, going six innings while allowing only two earned runs. However, he has struggled with allowing hits and walks, projecting to give up 5.6 hits and 1.3 walks today, which could be a concern against a potent Mets lineup.
David Peterson takes the mound for the Mets, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.85 this season. Though he has been effective, his xFIP of 4.41 suggests he may not sustain this level of success. Peterson's last start was also solid, where he went seven innings with just one earned run. However, he is projected to allow a high number of hits and walks, which could play into the Diamondbacks' hands.
The Diamondbacks' offense ranks as the 2nd best in MLB, while the Mets sit at 9th. With both teams projected to score around 4.71 runs for Arizona and 4.76 for New York, this game is expected to be closely contested. The Diamondbacks, however, have the edge with their powerful lineup and superior bullpen, ranked 2nd overall. As they look to build on their recent victory, the Diamondbacks will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Final Score: New York Mets 4.76 vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.71
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