New York Mets

New York Mets

Aug 29, 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction For 8/29/2024

  • Date: August 29, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • David Peterson - Mets
    • Ryne Nelson - D-Backs

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets 100, D-Backs -120
Runline: Mets 1.5 -195, D-Backs -1.5 170
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -110

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
New York Mets - 48% New York Mets - 47.89%
Arizona Diamondbacks - 52% Arizona Diamondbacks - 52.11%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the New York Mets on August 29, 2024, at Chase Field, the stakes are high in this National League matchup. The Diamondbacks currently hold a strong record of 76-57, sitting firmly in the playoff hunt, while the Mets, at 69-64, are battling for relevance in the postseason race. Just yesterday, the Diamondbacks bested the Mets 8-5, showcasing their offensive prowess.

Starting for the Diamondbacks is Ryne Nelson, who has had an average season, ranking as the 115th best pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. Despite an ERA of 4.29, his 3.61 FIP indicates he may have been a bit unlucky, hinting at potential for improved performance. In his last outing, Nelson pitched well, going six innings while allowing only two earned runs. However, he has struggled with allowing hits and walks, projecting to give up 5.6 hits and 1.3 walks today, which could be a concern against a potent Mets lineup.

David Peterson takes the mound for the Mets, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.85 this season. Though he has been effective, his xFIP of 4.41 suggests he may not sustain this level of success. Peterson's last start was also solid, where he went seven innings with just one earned run. However, he is projected to allow a high number of hits and walks, which could play into the Diamondbacks' hands.

The Diamondbacks' offense ranks as the 2nd best in MLB, while the Mets sit at 9th. With both teams projected to score around 4.71 runs for Arizona and 4.76 for New York, this game is expected to be closely contested. The Diamondbacks, however, have the edge with their powerful lineup and superior bullpen, ranked 2nd overall. As they look to build on their recent victory, the Diamondbacks will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage.

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 4.76 vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.71

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105
33% NYM
-123
67% ARI

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-102
12% UN
8.0/-118
88% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-192
44% NYM
-1.5/+160
56% ARI

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYM
Team Stats
ARI
4.55
ERA
4.66
.248
Batting Avg Against
.253
1.38
WHIP
1.35
.297
BABIP
.300
9.9%
BB%
8.6%
22.5%
K%
21.9%
72.3%
LOB%
70.1%
.236
Batting Avg
.254
.399
SLG
.420
.715
OPS
.742
.317
OBP
.323
NYM
Team Records
ARI
46-35
Home
44-37
43-38
Road
45-36
65-51
vRHP
61-44
24-22
vLHP
28-29
47-46
vs>.500
45-48
42-27
vs<.500
44-25
5-5
Last10
5-5
11-9
Last20
10-10
20-10
Last30
14-16
D. Peterson
R. Nelson
72.2
Innings
125.0
14
GS
24
3-7
W-L
6-7
5.45
ERA
5.47
9.78
K/9
5.90
4.46
BB/9
2.66
1.36
HR/9
1.58
72.7%
LOB%
69.0%
23.9%
HR/FB%
12.2%
4.71
FIP
5.16
3.78
xFIP
5.23
.293
AVG
.288
24.2%
K%
15.2%
11.0%
BB%
6.8%
4.16
SIERA
5.20

D. Peterson

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/3 ATL
Morton N/A
W5-4 N/A
5
4
4
3
6
3
54-90
4/22 ARI
Gallen N/A
W6-5 N/A
5.2
3
1
1
3
1
42-65
4/17 ARI
Castellanos N/A
W5-0 N/A
4.1
3
0
0
4
2
47-80
6/30 ATL
Fried N/A
L2-20 N/A
3
8
6
6
2
1
35-57
6/25 PHI
Moore N/A
L1-2 N/A
6
3
1
1
5
2
65-95

R. Nelson

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM ARI
NYM ARI
Consensus
-101
-116
+105
-123
-102
-118
+105
-125
-106
-110
+104
-122
-106
-112
+104
-122
+100
-120
+105
-125
-105
-115
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
NYM ARI
NYM ARI
Consensus
-1.5 (+156)
+1.5 (-187)
+1.5 (-202)
-1.5 (+166)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-192)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+160)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-190)
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-124)
8.5 (+102)
8.0 (-117)
8.0 (-103)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.0 (-118)
8.0 (-102)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-122)
9.0 (-110)
9.0 (-109)
8.5 (-103)
8.5 (-118)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)