Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 8/27/2025
The Minnesota Twins and Toronto Blue Jays will wrap up a three-game set on Wednesday night. These American League opponents have split the first two games of their series so far and will try to grab a win in this game and for the series here. I have broken this game down and you can find my analysis and my Twins vs Blue Jays prediction below.
Our Twins vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Blue Jays -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 27, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Toronto: Eric Lauer (8-2, 2.76 ERA)
- Minnesota: Simeon Woods Richardson (5-4, 4.24 ERA)
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: SNET and MNNT
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Eric Lauer has been sharp all season. He has a 2.76 ERA across 88 innings and an impressive strikeout tally. The Blue Jays have won over two-thirds of Lauer’s starts on the runline this year. Simeon Woods Richardson has recently returned from illness. He brings a 4.24 ERA over just over 80 innings for the Twins. Woods Richardson’s strikeout numbers are drastically lower than those of Lauer and that will be something to monitor as this game progresses.
Key Players
Matt Wallner hit the game-winning home run for the Twins on Tuesday night. Players like Byron Buxton are more closely associated the Minnesota’s offensive success. But contributions from someone like Waller could be a big help for the Twins. George Springer had two home runs for Toronto last night and he will be a key figure again tonight.
Recent team streaks
Minnesota had a three-game losing streak come to an end with Tuesday’s win over the Jays. Toronto has lost two of its last three games coming into this series finale from Rogers Centre.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| George Springer | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Eric Lauer | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto leads the season series against the Twins 3-2.
- This is the final game of the regular season series between these teams. A Toronto win would give them a 4-2 advantage and a Twins win will end their series with a 3-3 split.
Twins vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Twins 3
Win Probability: Blue Jays 58%, Twins 42%
Final Thoughts
Eric Lauer has pitched very well for the Blue Jays so far this season. I expect that to continue tonight against an inconsistent Twins lineup. Woods Richardson’s lack of strikeout stuff should hurt him against the Blue Jays. The power bats for the Blue Jays will ultimately be the difference maker in this American League rubber match. My best bet for this contest is for the Blue Jays to win and cover the runline at home.
