Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 8/26/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday evening at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays put on an offensive clinic on Monday night and gave Max Scherzer plenty of run support in a win over Minnesota. Toronto will look to perform just as well tonight while the Twins aim to even this series at a game apiece. Before the first pitch from Toronto, keep reading to get my Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for the evening.
Our Twins vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Twins – Bailey Ober (4–7, 5.05 ERA)
- Blue Jays – Chris Bassitt (11–7, 4.18 ERA)
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: SNET and MNNT
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Bailey Ober hasn’t been sharp this season. He enters this start with a 5.05 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and opponents batting .275 against him. Chris Bassitt is a steadier starting pitcher at 11–7 with a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio. Both are capable of going deep into games but Bassitt will be expected to get the better of the starting pitching matchup in this contest.
Key Players
Toronto’s Alejandro Kirk hit a home run for the Blue Jays in Monday’s win and his recent power surge has been a big boost for the Jays. Bo Bichette is mashing with a ten-game hit streak and batting .436 over that span. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. brings an OBP of .395 and a slugging percentage near .495. Matt Wallner of the Twins had a two-homer night on Monday and will attempt to lead the Twins to a win here.
Recent team streaks
The Twins have lost three games in a row and four of their last five heading into this matchup from Toronto. The Jays have secured wins in three of their last four games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Chris Bassitt | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Bailey Ober | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto holds a 3-1 lead in their season series against the Twins in 2025.
- The first game of this series saw 14 total runs scored and went over the total.
- Toronto is 50-40 against American League opponents so far this season.
- Minnesota is 43-49 against teams from the American League.
Twins vs Blue Jays Model Projection
- Score Projection: Toronto 5 – Minnesota 3
- Win Probability: Toronto 61%, Minnesota 39%
Final Thoughts
The Toronto Blue Jays are playing at home, are playing better baseball of late, and have the better starting pitching going into this contest. All of that should add up to a convincing win for the hosts in this matchup. I will lay the runline with the Blue Jays and expect some more power from Kirk to help Toronto get another win closer to the postseason.
