Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 8/25/2025
The Minnesota Twins and Toronto Blue Jays will open up a three-game series on Monday night at Rogers Centre. Toronto is at the top of the AL East while the Twins have fallen out of playoff contention. Here, I break down this matchup between American League opponents in Canada, continue reading to get my Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for Monday night.
Our Twins vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Monday, August 25, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Joe Ryan (Twins) vs Max Scherzer (Blue Jays)
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: SNET and MNNT
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Joe Ryan is enjoying a standout season with a sub-3.00 ERA and strong strikeout numbers. He faces a tough Toronto lineup and will look to miss bats in this contest. Toronto’s Max Scherzer enters this outing with excellent form. He has recently allowed just 5 runs over 25 innings and has been dominating against his opponents. Scherzer has his ERA down to 3.60 after a rough start to his campaign for the Jays.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Twins have lost two games in a row and four of the last five games.
- The Blue Jays have won two of their last three games to win their most recent series against the Miami Marlins.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Hits | Over 1.5 |
| Max Scherzer | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Blue Jays won two of their first three meetings against the Twins this season.
- This is the first game of the final series of the year between these American League teams.
- Minnesota is 26-40 on the road for the season.
- Toronto is 42-21 at home during the 2025 campaign.
Twins vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Twins 3
Win Probability: Blue Jays 56% – Twins 44%
Final Thoughts
The Toronto Blue Jays are playing well in the second half of the season. Max Scherzer is one of the few pitchers that I would trust to outperform Joe Ryan right now. Scherzer appears to be back on track after a slow start and the Jays should be able to take care of business at home here. I’ll take the Jays to win on the moneyline, though bettors with more risk tolerance might want to back the Jays to cover the runline.
