Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Pick – 8/12/2025
The Minnesota Twins will face the New York Yankees in the second game of their series from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The Yankees come into the middle game of the series as clear betting favorites with one of their best pitchers set to take the hill. Before the first pitch from New York, you can keep reading to get my thoughts on this game, including my Twins vs Yankees prediction.
Our Twins vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees –1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 12, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodón (Yankees) vs Undecided (Twins)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES and MNNT
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The Yankees will lean on veteran left-hander Carlos Rodón in this game. He has gone 11-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 159 strikeouts through 139.2 innings this year. Minnesota has not named a starter for this contest. They are likely to be at a clear disadvantage when it comes to starting pitching against Rodón.
Key Players
- Yankees: Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 37 home runs and 87 RBI while batting .336. Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham provide added power and patience in the lineup.
- Twins: Byron Buxton is Minnesota’s top offensive threat with 24 home runs, 60 RBI, and a .282 average. Trevor Larnach also adds pop with 16 homers.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees won Monday’s opener 6-2 and they are 3-2 in their last five games.
- The Twins are also 3-2 in their last five games despite Monday’s loss.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Carlos Rodón | Over 6.5 Strikeouts |
| Byron Buxton | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- New York is 1-0 against the Twins so far this year.
- The first game of the season series between these teams went under the total.
- New York is 36-24 at home following their win on Monday.
Twins vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Twins 3
Win Probability: Yankees 60%, Twins 40%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees have the clear edge in this contest. Rodón’s presence on the mound against a Twins rotation that is not currently set gives them a significant advantage. Minnesota’s lack of a declared starter leaves them vulnerable here. I expect New York to control the game and win by at least two runs, making the runline the smart choice in the betting markets.
