Sometimes interleague play gives you dream matchups between some of the biggest names in baseball. Other times, it gives you matchups between the Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins. Here is a detailed preview of tonight’s matchup between the Twins and Marlins, including my Twins vs Marlins prediction in the betting markets.
Our Twins vs Marlins Pick
Pick: Miami Marlins moneyline (+107)
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Date & Time: Wednesday, July 2, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
Starting Pitchers:
Twins – Simeon Woods Richardson (3‑4, 4.63 ERA)
Marlins – Janson Junk (2‑0, 3.73 ERA)
Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FDSFL (Florida), MNNT (Minnesota)
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Simeon Woods Richardson seeks consistency after a dominant five shutout innings in his last start against Seattle. But overall, his 4.63 ERA indicates inconsistency.
Janson Junk is off to a 2-0 start this season. However, he gave up five earned runs to the San Francisco Giants in his last start and was bailed out by an offense that put up 12 runs in that game.
Bullpen Usage
Marlins’ pen has been busy through their eight-game win streak, but they are taking care of business for now.
Twins have leaned heavily on relievers this month, raising fatigue concerns, especially on the road.
Recent Team Streaks
Miami has won their last eight games going into Wednesday’s play.
Minnesota has lost three games in a row and seven of their last 10.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Detail
Byron Buxton
Home runs
Over 0.5 (+320)
Brooks Lee
Total bases
Over 1.5 (+125)
Kyle Stowers
Total bases
Over 1.5 (+150)
Otto Lopez
Home runs
Over 0.5 (+600)
Betting Trends & H2H
Marlins are 5-0 in their last five games, Twins 2-3 in their last 5.
The Marlins have seen 10+ combined runs in four of their last five games.
Twins are 18-28 on the road this year, Marlins are 18-24 at home.
Twins vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Twins 4 – Marlins 5
Win Probability: Twins 52%, Marlins 48%
Final Thoughts
Miami’s offense has surged during their recent eight-game win streak, while Junk appears composed, and Woods Richardson remains unpredictable. The Twins are favored, but recent performance suggests to me that the value lies with the Marlins at plus money. The under 8.5 is tempting given that the last game between these teams ended 2-0, but I prefer to take the Marlins on the moneyline instead.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Pick – 7/2/2025
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