Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pick – 8/5/2025
The Detroit Tigers will host the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park in Detroit on Tuesday night. The Tigers won the opening game of this three-game series on Monday night. They have dominated the season series between these teams so far. Will that trend continue tonight? Continue reading to get my Twins vs Tigers prediction to find out.
Our Twins vs Tigers Prediction
- Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers |
| Date & Time | August 5, 2025, 6:40 PM EDT |
| Starting Pitchers | Zebby Matthews (MIN) vs Chris Paddack (DET) |
| Stadium | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Zebby Matthews will get the start for Minnesota on Tuesday night. Matthews is 2-3 on the season and has a 5.67 ERA. He is allowing over a hit per inning but also has more than a strikeout per inning under his belt for the year. Matthews will face Detroit’s Chris Paddack. Paddack was a Twin earlier this season before being sent to the Tigers. He is 4-9 with a 4.77 ERA and will look to improve both of those numbers against his former team.
Team Momentum: The Tigers have won three of their last five games. That includes a 6-3 win over the Twins in Monday’s series opener. Minnesota is 1-4 in their last five games and they will look to get their offense in gear against a pitcher that they should have a ton of familiarity with given that Paddack played for them.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 |
| Spencer Torkelson | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Riley Greene | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Tigers are 5-2 against the Twins so far this season.
- Detroit has won three straight games over Minnesota after the first four games were split 2-2.
- Minnesota has been held under five runs in four of their last five games.
Twins vs Tigers Model Projection
Projected Score: Tigers 5 – Twins 3
Win Probability: Tigers 65% | Twins 35%
Final Thoughts
I think we see why these two teams are separated by so many games in the AL Central standings tonight. Paddack should pitch well against his former team in this game and the offense of the Tigers should showcase its superiority. I will lay the runline with the Tigers, who should cover it for the second night in a row.
