Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/18/2025

The Minnesota Twins head to Coors Field to open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Friday night. The Twins come into this series two games below .500 on the year and in need of wins to join the AL Wild Card race. Fortunately for them, wins have been easy to come by for everyone but the Rockies at Coors Field this season. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this interleague game, including my Twins vs Rockies prediction.

Our Twins vs Rockies Pick

• Pick: Twins -1.5
• Confidence: ★★★★
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies
• Date & Time: Friday, July 18, 2025, 8:40 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs Kyle Freeland
• Stadium: Coors Field
• Broadcast: COLR and MNNT

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Minnesota’s Chris Paddack has struggled with consistency in 2025. He is 3-8 with a 4.95 ERA on the year. Pitching in Colorado could help him by putting him up against a bad Rockies lineup. But it could also hurt him as the thin air in the Rocky Mountains could lead to more issues. Kyle Freeland is a dismal 1-10 on the year with a 5.44 ERA. He has allowed 116 hits in 89.1 innings of work on the season.
• Bullpen usage: Both of these teams are in the bottom 10 in bullpen ERA this season. The Twins have a slight advantage over the Rockies in this area. But I’m not sure how you trust either pen in late-game situations in this matchup.
• Recent team streaks: The Twins have won three of their last five games. The Rockies have dropped two straight and four of their last five.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• This is the first game played between these teams this season.
• Minnesota is 26-20 in night games on the year. Colorado is 10-46 in their night games.
• The Rockies have the worst runline record in the league at 38-58.

Twins vs Rockies Model Projection

Score Projection: Twins 6 – Rockies 4

Win Probability: Twins 55%, Rockies 45%

Final Thoughts

The Twins have the edge in nearly every phase of this game. I will back Minnesota to cover the runline here. Colorado is 20 games below .500 on the runline this season. That is incredible given that they have been underdogs in nearly every game they have played. Look for Colorado’s misery to continue and for the Twins to get the win to start the second half of their 2025 campaign.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.