Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 6/19/2025

As the Cincinnati Reds take on the Minnesota Twins on June 19, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in this crucial Interleague matchup. The Reds, sitting at 39-35, are having an above-average season and currently rank 10th in MLB in offensive performance. The Twins, with a record of 36-37, are treading water with an average season, placing 17th in offensive rankings. Yesterday, the Reds edged out the Twins in a tightly contested game, further intensifying their desire to secure a series win.

Cincinnati will send Nick Martinez to the mound, who has had an up-and-down season with a 4-7 record and a solid ERA of 3.92. Despite his struggles, Martinez is ranked as the 89th best starting pitcher based on advanced metrics, indicating he’s above average. He projects to pitch around 5.3 innings while allowing 2.9 earned runs, but his tendency to give up 5.4 hits and 1.0 walks could be a concern against the Twins' offense.

On the other hand, Chris Paddack will take the ball for Minnesota. With a disappointing 2-6 record and a 4.30 ERA, Paddack is viewed as below average in the current landscape of pitching. His projections suggest he will give up 3.0 earned runs over 5.1 innings, which could be problematic given the Reds' potent lineup.

The Reds' offensive firepower, ranked 10th in runs scored, creates a favorable matchup against Paddack. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 20th in batting average, highlighting their struggles at the plate. With a game total set at 9.0 runs, bettors should keep an eye on the Reds, who are favored to continue their winning ways at Great American Ball Park.

Quick Takes Minnesota Twins:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Minnesota Twins will score 5.3 runs on average in this game: the 4th-most of all teams playing today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Matt McLain).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Minnesota Twins 5.27, Cincinnati Reds 5.13

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Venue: Great American Ball Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Chris Paddack - Twins
  • Nick Martinez - Reds

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and predictions all season long.