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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 1 Prediction 9/22/2024
- Date: September 22, 2024
- Venue: Fenway Park
- Starting Pitchers:
- Pablo Lopez - Twins
- Nick Pivetta - Red Sox
Twins vs Red Sox Game 1 Betting Odds
| Moneyline: | Twins -130, Red Sox +110 |
| Runline: | Twins -1.5 (+130), Red Sox +1.5 (-155) |
| Over/Under Total: | 7.5 |
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 1 Win Probabilities
| Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
| Minnesota Twins - 56.52% | Minnesota Twins - 54.47% |
| Boston Red Sox - 47.62% | Boston Red Sox - 45.53% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 1 Betting Preview
On Sunday, the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins will play two, as they make up for yesterday's postponed game with a doubleheader from Fenway Park. This first game will be an interesting one, as both teams need to set the tone for the day with a win and avoid risking a sweep later in the day.
On the mound, Boston will rely on Nick Pivetta, who is ranked as the 82nd best starting pitcher according to the advanced-stat Power Rankings. Despite his 5-11 record, Pivetta's 3.43 xFIP suggests he's been a bit unlucky, indicating potential for a stronger outing. He projects to strike out 6.6 batters today, which should pair well with Boston's 8th ranked offense, known for its power and ability to drive in runs. Trevor Story, Boston's standout player over the last week, brings a solid 0.868 OPS to the plate.
The Twins counter with Pablo Lopez, an elite right-hander who ranks 14th among starting pitchers. Lopez's 3.32 xFIP shows he is likely to outperform his already impressive 3.84 ERA. With the Twins' offense ranked 11th in MLB, they have been capable of backing up Lopez's performances, especially with Carlos Correa in excellent form, boasting a .375 batting average over the last week.
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 1 Prediction
Final Score: Minnesota Twins 4.55 vs Boston Red Sox 3.99
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.
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P. López
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