Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins

Sep 22, 2024

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox
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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Betting Picks 9/22/2024

  • Date: September 22, 2024
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Zebby Matthews - Twins
    • Kutter Crawford - Red Sox

Twins vs Red Sox Game 2 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Twins -125, Red Sox +105
Runline: Twins -1.5 (+140), Red Sox +1.5 (-166)
Over/Under Total: 8.5

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Minnesota Twins - 55.56% Minnesota Twins - 58.47%
Boston Red Sox - 48.78% Boston Red Sox - 41.53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Betting Preview

As the Boston Red Sox gear up for the second game of their double-header against the Minnesota Twins on September 22, 2024, both teams bring distinct challenges and opportunities to Fenway Park. The Red Sox, with a 76-78 record, find themselves in the middle of the pack this season, while the Twins, with an 81-73 record, have been slightly more impressive. The Twins hold the edge in the American League matchup, seeking to further position themselves as potential playoff contenders. With the Twins securing the series' first game in a 8-2 game on Friday, the Red Sox will aim to even the series in Game 2 and win it in this third and final game.

In the pitching matchup for this contest, the Twins are starting Zebby Matthews, who is 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA for the season. He will be faced by another struggling pitcher in Kutter Crawford, who is 8-15 with an ERA of 4.19. With both men struggling in 2024, the bullpens will be a focal point for both teams in this game, as their usage in Game 1 could determine how effective the relievers are on both sides in Game 2.

The betting markets suggest a close game, but the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, sees slight value in backing the Twins, projecting a win probability slightly higher than the market's estimate. But with both pitchers having their share of struggles going into this game, this one could go either way, especially when the presence of a game before it could throw additional variables into the equation.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Twins 4.55 vs Boston Red Sox 4.51

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-120
75% MIN
+102
25% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-108
16% UN
8.0/-112
84% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+142
93% MIN
+1.5/-170
7% BOS

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
MIN
Team Stats
BOS
3.89
ERA
4.32
.235
Batting Avg Against
.252
1.20
WHIP
1.31
.293
BABIP
.302
7.3%
BB%
7.6%
25.8%
K%
22.9%
74.0%
LOB%
72.8%
.237
Batting Avg
.262
.416
SLG
.431
.732
OPS
.759
.316
OBP
.327
MIN
Team Records
BOS
43-36
Home
37-42
39-42
Road
43-38
61-53
vRHP
63-54
21-25
vLHP
17-26
39-57
vs>.500
37-56
43-21
vs<.500
43-24
3-7
Last10
5-5
6-14
Last20
10-10
10-20
Last30
13-17
Z. Matthews
K. Crawford
N/A
Innings
90.0
N/A
GS
15
N/A
W-L
5-6
N/A
ERA
3.80
N/A
K/9
8.90
N/A
BB/9
2.20
N/A
HR/9
1.40
N/A
LOB%
77.5%
N/A
HR/FB%
11.6%
N/A
FIP
4.18
N/A
xFIP
4.36

Z. Matthews

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

K. Crawford

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/5 CLE
Plesac N/A
L5-11 N/A
2
5
5
5
2
2
40-57

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN BOS
MIN BOS
Consensus
-110
-110
-120
+102
-130
+110
-122
+102
-120
+102
-120
+102
-120
+102
-120
+102
-110
-110
-120
+100
-110
-110
-115
-105
Open
Current
Book
MIN BOS
MIN BOS
Consensus
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-169)
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+132)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-109)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)
9.0 (-113)
9.0 (-108)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-109)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)