Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics Prediction For 6/23/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Oakland Coliseum
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Pablo Lopez - Twins
  • Hogan Harris - Athletics

Betting Odds

Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Betting Preview

The Oakland Athletics host the Minnesota Twins on June 23, 2024, at the Oakland Coliseum for the third game in their series. The Athletics are enduring a rough season with a 29-49 record, while the Twins are faring better at 41-35. This American League matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, with the Athletics struggling and the Twins performing above average.

Oakland's Hogan Harris, a left-handed pitcher, will take the mound against Minnesota's Pablo Lopez, a right-handed pitcher. Harris is ranked 254th among starting pitchers, highlighting his struggles, while Lopez ranks 31st, showcasing his effectiveness. The Athletics' offense has been lackluster, ranking 28th in team batting average and 27th in stolen bases, but they do have some power, sitting 6th in home runs. The Twins, on the other hand, have a more balanced offense, ranking 15th in batting average and 4th in home runs, though they lag in stolen bases at 20th.

JJ Bleday has been a bright spot for the Athletics over the past week, hitting .435 with a 1.239 OPS, 10 hits, and 1 home run in his last six games. For the Twins, Carlos Santana has been on fire, boasting a .474 batting average and a 1.493 OPS over the same span, with 9 hits, 4 runs, 4 RBIs, and 2 home runs.

The Twins enter this game as the favorites, with a moneyline of -175 and an implied win probability of 62%. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, aligns with this sentiment, giving the Twins a 60% chance of winning. The Athletics are underdogs with a moneyline of +155 and an implied win probability of 38%, slightly lower than the 40% projected by THE BAT X.

With an implied team total of 4.53 runs for the Twins and 3.47 runs for the Athletics, expect Minnesota's strong offense to capitalize on the Athletics' pitching woes. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average scoring affair. Given the current dynamics, the Twins are well-positioned to take advantage of Oakland's struggles and secure a win.

Quick Takes Minnesota Twins:

The Minnesota Twins bullpen profiles as the 7th-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

The Oakland Athletics offense projects to score the 2nd-least runs of all teams on the slate today, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Twins 4.62 vs Oakland Athletics 3.49

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