Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Pick – 9/10/2025
The Milwaukee Brewers and Texas Rangers will wrap up a three-game series on Wednesday afternoon. This getaway game in Arlington arrives with real stakes for both clubs. Milwaukee continues to chase home‑field advantage after a summer surge, while Texas is pushing hard in the Wild Card race. Below you’ll find current form, actionable data, and my Brewers vs Rangers prediction for Wednesday’s game.
Our Brewers vs Rangers Pick
Pick: Brewers moneyline
Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 10, 2025, 2:35 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs Merrill Kelly
- Stadium: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
- The Rangers have won the first two games of this series and will look to complete an important sweep on their home field.
- Texas enters the day’s action just 1.5 games back of the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot and they will try to pull even closer with a win here.
- Milwaukee is still at the top of the standings across the entire league and will look to snap their recent losing streak.
- This is a very good pitching matchup between Peralta and Kelly. Those making MLB betting picks for this game may want to consider taking the under based on how effective both starters have been in 2025.
Pitching matchup
- Freddy Peralta, Brewers: Peralta enters this game with an impressive 16-5 record and a 2.50 ERA. He has given up just 109 hits in 158.2 innings of work and has been stellar despite a higher walk rate than many elite pitchers.
- Merrill Kelly, Rangers: Kelly comes into this game at 11-7 with a 3.16 ERA. He has been tough on opposing hitters since joining the Rangers from the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Recent team streaks
- The Brewers have lost two games in a row coming into this series finale.
- Texas has won three straight games and they have won four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Recommended Angle |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Home Run | Over 0.5 |
| Merrill Kelly | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Sal Frelick | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Texas holds a 2-0 lead in their season series with Milwaukee.
- This is the final game scheduled between these interleague opponents this season.
- Texas has outscored Milwaukee 10-4 during this series so far.
Brewers vs Rangers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Brewers 4 – Rangers 3
- Win Probability: Brewers 53%, Rangers 47%
Final Thoughts
We should see a low-scoring game between these teams on Wednesday afternoon. Both starting pitchers are operating at a high level and I don’t see that changing here. But I think the Brewers are the best bet for this contest thanks to just how good Peralta has been and how good the Brewers have been at maintaining leads for him in 2025.
