Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 4/20/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Overview

• Date: April 20, 2024
• Venue: Busch Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • D.L. Hall - Brewers
  • Miles Mikolas - Cardinals
• Run Line: Brewers 1.5 -180, Cardinals -1.5 155
• Money Line: Brewers 110, Cardinals -130
• Total (Over/Under):8.5 -110

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Milwaukee Brewers - 46%
• St. Louis Cardinals - 54%

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Game Preview & Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals are set to host the Milwaukee Brewers in an exciting National League Central matchup at Busch Stadium on April 20, 2024. The Cardinals, with a record of 9-11, are having a below-average season, while the Brewers boast a strong 12-6 record, making it a great season for them.

On the mound, the Cardinals are projected to start right-handed pitcher Miles Mikolas, who has had a challenging season so far. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Mikolas is ranked as the #170 best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he has been struggling. However, his 4.03 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and is likely to perform better going forward.

Facing Mikolas, the Brewers are projected to start left-handed pitcher D.L. Hall, who has not fared well this season. According to our Power Rankings, Hall is considered one of the worst pitchers in MLB. However, his 5.41 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky and may improve in future outings.

In terms of offense, the Cardinals rank as the #25 best team in MLB this season, with a good team batting average ranking of #7 and a great team home run ranking of #5. On the other hand, the Brewers have one of the best offenses in MLB, ranking #2 overall. However, their team batting average and home run rankings are lower at #27 and #22, respectively.

When it comes to the bullpens, the Cardinals have the #1 best bullpen in MLB according to our Power Rankings, while the Brewers rank #9. This suggests that the Cardinals may have an advantage in the late innings.

Looking at the betting odds, the Cardinals are favored with a moneyline set at -130, giving them an implied win probability of 54%. The Brewers, with a moneyline set at +110, have an implied win probability of 46%. This indicates that the betting markets believe it will be a close game.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected batting order, DL Hall will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Notching 2 homers over the past 7 days, William Contreras has been on fire of late.

• Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Milwaukee Brewers today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .312, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .345 this year.

• Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today's lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren't accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Quick Takes St. Louis Cardinals:

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams playing today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Siani in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals' bullpen grades out as the best out of all teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction: Brewers 4.03 - Cardinals 4.46

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.