Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Milwaukee Brewers head into Saturday’s slate riding solid form against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Brewers won the opening game of this series on Friday and will look to make it two in a row against a struggling starting pitcher for Miami. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this National League matchup, including my Brewers vs Marlins prediction.

Our Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Pick

  • Pick: Brewers moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★★
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
  • Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025, 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Chad Patrick (3‑7, 3.51 ERA) vs Cal Quantrill (3‑7, 5.42 ERA)
  • Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
  • Broadcast: FDSFL, FDSWI

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Chad Patrick has been steady if unspectacular, logging a 3.51 ERA on the season. He has enough consistency to keep the Brewers afloat, but I don’t think he’s ever going to wow you either. Cal Quantrill, on the other hand, has struggled with a 5.42 ERA and the Brewers will like their chances against him today.

Bullpen usage

Both teams have below-average bullpens, which could be a sign to bet the over in this game. With neither pitcher racking up wins this season, and Quantrill struggling the way he has, we could see both offenses jump on bullpens with ERAs over 4.00 today.

Recent team streaks

The Marlins are playing well, winning eight of their last 10, but one of those two losses came against the Brew Crew on Friday. The Brewers have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 1.5 (+190)
Christian YelichHitsOver 1.5 (+200)
Kyle StowersHitsOver 0.5 (-180)
  • Brewers are 27-14 as favorites this year.
  • Milwaukee has gone 46-42 vs the runline overall.
  • Miami is 51-35 on the runline in 2025, the second-best percentage in the league.
  • Friday’s Brewers win was the first meeting between these teams this season.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Model Projection

Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Marlins 4

Win Probability: Brewers 56%, Marlins 44%

Final Thoughts

The Brewers should be able to take advantage of shaky starting pitching from the Marlins today. I recommend taking the Brewers to win this game on the moneyline, as they should be able to exploit Quantrill’s struggles. The over isn’t a bad look here either, as the bullpens on each side could cough up runs in the late innings.


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Home MLB Picks Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 7/5/2025