Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 7/4/2025

The Milwaukee Brewers travel to LoanDepot Park to face the Miami Marlins on Friday, July 4, 2025. While the Brewers have the better record this season and are favorites, the Marlins are playing better baseball of late. Will that trend continue? Continue reading to find out what we think as we make our Brewers vs Marlins prediction for Friday.

Our Brewers vs Marlins Pick

Pick: Brewers Moneyline (-119)

Confidence: ★★★★☆

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

⚾ MLB Parlay Profit Boosts & More

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

⚾ MLB Parlay Profit Boosts & More

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

Click To Claim

Claim Bonus
Promo Code: Click To Claim

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

⚾ MLB Parlay Profit Boosts & More

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

Click To Claim

Claim Bonus
Promo Code: Click To Claim

Claim Bonus
Promo Code: Click To Claim

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
• Date & Time: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Quinn Priester (MIL) vs Sandy Alcantara (MIA)
• Stadium: LoanDepot Park
• Broadcast: FDSFL and FDSWI

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Quinn Priester has gone 6-2 this season, posting a 3.35 ERA and 3.97 FIP. His most recent outing was a gem of a game against the Colorado Rockies. Priester struck out 11 and threw seven shutout innings in that game. I’m not sure he’ll be that good in this game but he could certainly pitch well again.

Sandy Alcantara has struggled mightily this year. The former Cy Young winner gets the start for the Marlins tonight. His 6.98 ERA and 4.69 FIP across 80 innings are concerning numbers. He’s coming off a rough start vs Arizona, where he gave up seven runs in six innings.

Bullpen usage

Neither bullpen has been special this year. They are both in the bottom half of the league in bullpen ERA. That will make the starts for Priester and Alcantara very important, which I think gives a huge edge to the Brewers.

Recent team streaks

• Brewers are 6–4 in their past 10, but they have lost two games in a row.
• Marlins are 9–1 in their last 10 games.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Milwaukee is 26-14 as a favorite, winning 65% of the time in that situation.
• Marlins underdogs 75 times: 34–41 overall, 9–1 in the last 10.
• This is the first game of the season series between these teams. They will play a total of six times in 2025, with all of those games happening in July.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Model Projection

Score Projection: Milwaukee 5 – Miami 4

Win Probability: Milwaukee 55%, Miami 45%

Final Thoughts

This matchup leans in Milwaukee’s favor for me. Priester’s recent dominance should give the Brew Crew the edge over the Marlins with a struggling Alcantara on the mound. While Miami has played well of late, it’s hard to imagine them overcoming the pitching disadvantage in front of them tonight. Look for Milwaukee to snap its two-game losing streak here.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.