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Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Pick – 4/10/2025
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
As the Colorado Rockies host the Milwaukee Brewers on April 10, 2025, one day after the Brewers put a 17-2 beating on the Rockies at Coors Field. Currently, the Rockies hold a dismal 2-9 record this season, while the Brewers sit at a more respectable 7-5, indicating a significant disparity in performance.
The Rockies are projected to start Ryan Feltner, who has a solid 3.60 ERA this year, but his 4.47 FIP suggests he may be due for a rough outing. Feltner's average projected innings of 5.1 and his tendency to allow 2.9 earned runs paired with 5.6 hits indicates the potential for trouble against the Brewers' offense. However, the Rockies possess the 8th best bullpen in MLB, which could help mitigate any early struggles.
Quinn Priester, taking the mound for Milwaukee, also carries concerns. His projections indicate he will average just 4.7 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs and 5.4 hits, which may not be enough to stifle a Rockies lineup that, while ranked 22nd in overall offensive capability, has shown some flashes of strength. The Rockies’ best hitter has been performing well lately, boasting a .400 batting average over the last week.
Betting markets reflect a close contest, with both teams currently at -110 on the moneyline. The Game Total is set high at 10.5 runs, hinting at an offensive showdown. Given the Rockies’ superior bullpen and the volatility of both starting pitchers, this game could swing either way, but there are signs that the Rockies might just outperform expectations today.
Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Quinn Priester in the 16th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
- THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Brice Turang has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 2.5% rate last season to 13.8% this year.
- Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers' bullpen projects as the 10th-best out of all major league teams.
- Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.
Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:
From last season to this one, Kyle Farmer's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.3 mph to 84.6 mph.
- Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
The Colorado Rockies project to score the 2nd-most runs of all teams today, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
- THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Game Trends
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Date: April 10, 2025
- Venue: Coors Field
- Starting Pitchers:
- Quinn Priester - Brewers
- Ryan Feltner - Rockies
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