Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 2 Prediction 8/30/2024

• Date: August 30, 2024
• Venue: Great American Ball Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • D.L. Hall - Brewers
  • Rhett Lowder - Reds

Brewers vs Reds Game 2 Betting Odds

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Game 2 Reds Betting Preview

As the Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers on August 30, 2024, both teams will look to finish strong in their double-header from Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati. Going into today's action, the Brewers are 77-56 and sit in first place in the NL Central, while the Reds are 64-70 and sit in fourth place in the division.

The pitching duel features Rhett Lowder for the Reds, who is ranked as the 192nd best starting pitcher out of approximately 350, while the Brewers counter with D.L. Hall, whose 6.43 ERA underscores his struggles this season. Lowder, a right-hander, projects to pitch an average of 4.7 innings, allowing a troubling 2.8 earned runs with a high hit rate of 5.3. Hall, a lefty with a 0-1 record, also has a difficult challenge ahead, projecting to allow 3.0 earned runs in 4.6 innings.

With the game's total set at a high 10.0 runs, expectations are for a tight contest. Cincinnati's current moneyline suggests belief in their potential to pull off another victory, despite their less favorable season stats overall. As both teams rest players from the earlier double-header, depth could play a crucial role in deciding the outcome of this critical matchup.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Jackson Chourio has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 15.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

• xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Amed Rosario is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

• When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5.44 vs Cincinnati Reds 5.46

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