Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Game 1 Pick – 8/19/2025
The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs will try to play a doubleheader for the second straight day on Tuesday. The second game of Monday’s doubleheader was postponed and these NL Central rivals will try to get two games in starting with Game 1 on Tuesday afternoon. Before the action begins from Wrigley Field, keep reading to get my analysis and my Brewers vs Cubs Game 1 prediction.
Our Brewers vs Cubs Game 1 Pick
- Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 19, 2025, 2:20 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chad Patrick (MIL) vs Matthew Boyd (CHC)
- Stadium: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: MARQ (Cubs) and FDSWI (Brewers)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Chad Patrick takes the mound for the Brewers with a 3.52 ERA over 94.2 innings. His WHIP is 1.30 and he’s surrendered 10 home runs so far or under one home run per nine innings. Chicago’s Matthew Boyd is having a career-best year. His 2.46 ERA and 126 strikeouts over 142.2 innings make him one of the most reliable lefties in the league this season.
Key Players
Brice Turang had a big game for the Brewers on Monday. He hit a home run and drove in a pair of runs to help the Brewers beat the Cubs. All of Chicago’s lineup will be a key in this game. The Cubbies were shut out by Milwaukee on Monday afternoon and Chicago will need some of its bats to step up in this matchup.
Recent Team Streaks
Milwaukee’s 14-game win streak was snapped with a 3–2 extra-innings loss to Cincinnati on Sunday. But they bounced back with a 7-0 win over the Cubs on Monday. Chicago had a two-game winning streak snapped by the Brewers in their series opener.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Selection |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Total Bases | Under 0.5 |
| Matthew Boyd | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Seiya Suzuki | Total bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Milwaukee took a 5-4 lead in their season series with the Cubs after Monday’s win.
- The first game of this series stayed under the total with seven total runs scored.
- Milwaukee has the best runline record in MLB this season. They are 73-51 in that market in 2025.
Brewers vs Cubs Game 1 Model Projection
Score Projection: Cubs 5 – Brewers 4
Win Probability: Cubs 52%, Brewers 48%
Final Thoughts
We are in for a fun pitching matchup on Tuesday afternoon. Both Boyd and Patrick have put their teams in positions to win on many occasions this season. But I think that Boyd is going to be the better of the two starters in this game. I will go with the Cubs to win the first game of Tuesday’s doubleheader as they will even this series at a game apiece.
