Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 30, 2024

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Game 1 Best Bet – 8/30/2024

  • Date: August 30, 2024
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Colin Rea - Brewers
    • Nick Martinez - Reds

Brewers vs Reds Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -125, Reds +105
Runline: Brewers -1.5 +124, Reds +1.5 -148
Over/Under Total: 9.5

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Milwaukee Brewers - 55.56% Milwaukee Brewers - 57.55%
Cincinnati Reds - 48.78% Cincinnati Reds - 42.45%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 1 Betting Preview

As the Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a doubleheader on August 30, 2024, both teams enter with contrasting seasons in the National League Central. The Reds, currently sitting at 64-70, have struggled significantly this year, while the Brewers boast a strong 77-56 record.

The pitching matchup for this game features Colin Rea of the Brewers facing off with Nick Martinez of the Reds. Rea enters this contest with a 12-4 record and a 3.61 ERA, while Martinez is 6-6 with a 3.62 ERA. Longevity from Martinez will be a key to this game for the Reds, who will hope to preserve their bullpen for Game 2 later in the day.

Offensively, the Reds rank 17th in Major League Baseball, with a particularly low batting average of .227, placing them 27th overall. Nevertheless, they excel in stolen bases, leading the league with 152. On the flip side, the Brewers' offense ranks 9th, highlighted by a strong batting average of .281 and a high level of consistency at the plate.

Brewers vs Reds Game 1 Trends

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 129 games (+14.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.96 vs Cincinnati Reds 4.54

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-117
73% MIL
-102
27% CIN

Total Pick Consensus

9.0/-105
33% UN
9.0/-115
67% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+130
87% MIL
+1.5/-155
13% CIN

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
MIL
Team Stats
CIN
4.04
ERA
4.79
.232
Batting Avg Against
.256
1.22
WHIP
1.41
.275
BABIP
.302
8.2%
BB%
9.5%
23.0%
K%
21.8%
73.6%
LOB%
72.5%
.233
Batting Avg
.250
.377
SLG
.415
.689
OPS
.743
.312
OBP
.327
MIL
Team Records
CIN
47-33
Home
39-42
46-35
Road
37-43
69-45
vRHP
60-59
24-23
vLHP
16-26
50-39
vs>.500
44-57
43-29
vs<.500
32-28
6-4
Last10
3-7
12-8
Last20
8-12
18-12
Last30
13-17
C. Rea
N. Martinez
100.1
Innings
N/A
19
GS
N/A
5-5
W-L
N/A
5.11
ERA
N/A
7.62
K/9
N/A
2.87
BB/9
N/A
1.70
HR/9
N/A
68.7%
LOB%
N/A
16.5%
HR/FB%
N/A
5.08
FIP
N/A
4.50
xFIP
N/A
.243
AVG
N/A
20.0%
K%
N/A
7.5%
BB%
N/A
4.56
SIERA
N/A

C. Rea

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/5 CHC
Gomber N/A
L1-5 N/A
2
5
4
4
3
2
27-46
8/15 MIL
Houser -107
L5-6 10
3.1
4
3
3
0
0
35-49

N. Martinez

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/28 CIN
Mahle N/A
W7-5 N/A
5
5
2
2
5
2
53-86
4/22 LAD
Urias N/A
L1-6 N/A
4.2
4
2
2
4
5
58-102
4/16 ATL
Anderson N/A
L2-5 N/A
5
7
4
4
3
4
49-80
4/11 SF
Wood N/A
W4-2 N/A
5
5
1
1
6
1
57-83
9/27 HOU
Verlander -215
L2-12 10
5
10
6
6
2
1
59-95

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL CIN
MIL CIN
Consensus
-127
+114
-117
-102
-125
+105
-118
-102
-134
+114
-116
-102
-125
+107
-113
-105
-130
+110
-120
+100
-130
+110
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
MIL CIN
MIL CIN
Consensus
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+118)
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-165)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
9.5 (-102)
9.5 (-120)
9.0 (-118)
9.0 (-102)
10.0 (-102)
10.0 (-118)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
9.5 (-105)
9.5 (-115)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
9.5 (-105)
9.5 (-115)
9.0 (-122)
9.0 (+102)
10.0 (-105)
10.0 (-115)
9.0 (-120)
9.0 (+100)
10.0 (+100)
10.0 (-130)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)